As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Oklahoma City Thunder at 73.5% in NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals — $12.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Oklahoma City Thunder, is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -8.5 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Oklahoma City Thunder has traded between 49.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 75.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.0% |
Oklahoma City Thunder is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $251 | 2.0% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 70¢ | 70.0% | — | $20 | 0.2% |
| Houston Rockets | 65¢ | 65.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.1K | 24.8% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 57¢ | 57.0% | — | $480 | 3.8% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| LA Clippers | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $40 | 0.3% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $180 | 1.4% |
| Denver Nuggets | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $1.5K | 12.2% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 26¢ | 25.9% | +1.1 pts | $2.7K | 21.8% |
| Golden State Warriors | 19¢ | 19.0% | -2.5 pts | $355 | 2.8% |
| Phoenix Suns | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $540 | 4.3% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $60 | 0.5% |
| Sacramento Kings | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $227 | 1.8% |
| Utah Jazz | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $157 | 1.2% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3¢ | 3.3% | — | $2.9K | 22.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 31¢ (bid 58¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 05, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 129 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impossible-Model | Yes | 129 | $95 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 79 | $21 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | No | 50 | $13 |
| Snappy-Councilman | No | 7 | $2 |
| Well-Off-String | Yes | 6 | $4 |
| Flat-Disclaimer | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Unfinished-Tadpole-Driveway | No | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 04:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.4% | $16 |
| Oct 18, 01:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.4% | $38 |
| Oct 18, 11:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 03:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 03:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.9% | $632 |
| Oct 16, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $24 |
| Oct 16, 03:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $81 |
| Oct 16, 03:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 02:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 81.0% | $11 |
| Oct 16, 02:10 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Oklahoma City Thunder at 73.5%. Next is Minnesota Timberwolves at 70.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-playoffs-team-to-advance-to-western-conference-semifinals?via=bro
$12.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 05, 2027, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nba.com/.
Oklahoma City Thunder, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.