As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 6 at 58.9% in NBA to announce expansion team in Las Vegas by...? — $15.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 6, is priced at 58.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -16.2 pts; past week: +39.1 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, November 6 has traded between 19.7% and 97.9%. It opened at 27.0% and last traded at 58.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 19.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 45.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 33.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.9% |
November 6 is favored at 58.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 6 | 59¢ | 58.9% | -16.2 pts | $328 | 2.1% |
| October 30 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -0.5 pts | $534 | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 29¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.6K has been traded on this event in total, $55 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces an expansion team in Las Vegas between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying announcement is an official NBA announcement that the league has selected an ownership group for a Las Vegas expansion franchise, or that its Board of Governors has approved an expansion franchise in Las Vegas. An announcement of a selected ownership group will qualify even if Board of Governors approval or completion of the transaction is still pending. The announcement must be made through the NBA's official channels or by the NBA Commissioner or another authorized NBA representative. Announcements that the league is exploring or evaluating expansion, general statements of interest in or intent to expand to Las Vegas, bidding deadlines or timelines, lists of finalist bidders, statements made only by a bidding group or other third parties, and media reports not confirmed by an official NBA announcement will not qualify. The franchise's home market must be in the Las Vegas metropolitan area (Clark County, Nevada). The relocation of an existing NBA franchise will not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary-Agent | Yes | 40 | $24 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | Yes | 40 | $24 |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 40 | $24 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 30 | $12 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $8 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 20 | $8 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | No | 20 | $8 |
| Stormy-Temper | No | 16 | $7 |
| 0xb28443ed… | No | 15 | $6 |
| Parched-Somebody | Yes | 6 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 08:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 04:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.6% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 10:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.5% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 08:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.1% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 08:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.5% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 06:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $13 |
| Oct 19, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 6 at 58.9%. Next is October 30 at 22.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-to-announce-expansion-team-in-las-vegas-by?via=bro
$15.6K in total volume, with $55 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 6, priced at 58.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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