As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price P4 at 50.0% in NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner — $305.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, P4, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
P4 is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P7 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P8 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P9 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P10 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P11 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P12 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P13 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P14 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P15 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P16 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P17 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P18 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P19 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P20 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P21 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P22 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P23 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P24 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P25 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P26 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P27 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P28 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P29 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| P30 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeremiah Smith | 38¢ | 38.5% | -4.0 pts | $227.6K | 74.6% |
| Darian Mensah | 19¢ | 19.0% | -2.0 pts | $19.3K | 6.3% |
| Malachi Toney | 19¢ | 19.0% | +14.1 pts | $3.1K | 1.0% |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 9¢ | 8.9% | -2.5 pts | $5.3K | 1.7% |
| Kewan Lacy | 4¢ | 4.3% | +0.4 pts | $563 | 0.2% |
| Bo Jackson | 4¢ | 4.3% | +1.7 pts | $327 | 0.1% |
| Drew Mestemaker | 4¢ | 4.0% | +2.8 pts | $487 | 0.2% |
| Ahmad Hardy | 4¢ | 4.0% | +1.3 pts | $265 | 0.1% |
| LaNorris Sellers | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.5 pts | $363 | 0.1% |
| Jesse Legree | 3¢ | 3.0% | -1.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sam Leavitt | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.8 pts | $2.8K | 0.9% |
| Arch Manning | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $1.6K | 0.5% |
| Keelon Russell | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.1 pts | $7.0K | 2.3% |
| CJ Carr | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.7 pts | $2.6K | 0.9% |
| Dante Moore | 2¢ | 2.0% | +1.1 pts | $19.6K | 6.4% |
| Julian Sayin | 2¢ | 1.5% | -0.4 pts | $1.9K | 0.6% |
| Kevin Jennings | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.2 pts | $1.5K | 0.5% |
| Gunner Stockton | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $761 | 0.2% |
| Josh Hoover | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $727 | 0.2% |
| Rocco Becht | 1¢ | 1.2% | -1.4 pts | $552 | 0.2% |
| John Mateer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $860 | 0.3% |
| Marcel Reed | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $818 | 0.3% |
| Jayden Maiava | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $886 | 0.3% |
| Will Hammond | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $588 | 0.2% |
| Austin Mack | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $866 | 0.3% |
| Brendan Sorsby | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $961 | 0.3% |
| Byrum Brown | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $676 | 0.2% |
| Bryce Underwood | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.1K | 0.7% |
| Demond Williams Jr. | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $395 | 0.1% |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $847 | 0.3% |
| Kamario Taylor | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $50 | 0.0% |
| Jadan Baugh | 0¢ | 0.1% | -2.2 pts | $50 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$305.3K has been traded on this event in total, $3.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 60 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,042 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,042 | $1.0K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 1,086 | $543 |
| Glossy-Believer | Yes | 400 | $200 |
| Necessary-Pentagon | Yes | 174 | $87 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 94 | $47 |
| Murky-Repayment | Yes | 85 | $42 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 28 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.5% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 02:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $76 |
| Oct 24, 02:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is P4 at 50.0%. Next is P5 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-heisman-award-winner-20260731185656435?via=bro
$305.3K in total volume, with $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 60 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
P4, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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