As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Miami (FL) at 62.5% in NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds — $59.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Miami (FL), is priced at 62.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +7.0 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Miami (FL) has traded between 17.5% and 78.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 63.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 63.0% |
Miami (FL) is favored at 62.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) | 62¢ | 62.5% | +2.5 pts | $4.4K | 7.4% |
| Notre Dame | 62¢ | 61.5% | -1.0 pts | $5.3K | 9.0% |
| Georgia | 48¢ | 48.5% | -6.5 pts | $987 | 1.7% |
| Ohio St. | 48¢ | 47.5% | -3.0 pts | $2.3K | 3.9% |
| Ole Miss | 38¢ | 38.0% | +2.5 pts | $578 | 1.0% |
| BYU | 29¢ | 29.0% | -0.5 pts | $764 | 1.3% |
| Arkansas | 25¢ | 25.4% | +0.3 pts | $40 | 0.1% |
| Houston | 24¢ | 24.5% | +2.4 pts | $240 | 0.4% |
| Tennessee | 24¢ | 24.5% | +16.5 pts | $331 | 0.6% |
| Indiana | 24¢ | 24.0% | -29.0 pts | $5.3K | 9.0% |
| Kansas St. | 24¢ | 23.7% | +11.7 pts | $800 | 1.4% |
| Texas Tech | 16¢ | 15.5% | -21.0 pts | $7.4K | 12.6% |
| Utah | 15¢ | 15.2% | -4.1 pts | $554 | 0.9% |
| Texas | 15¢ | 15.0% | -7.0 pts | $2.9K | 4.8% |
| Florida | 13¢ | 13.1% | +12.4 pts | $461 | 0.8% |
| Alabama | 12¢ | 11.5% | -14.5 pts | $349 | 0.6% |
| Arizona | 10¢ | 10.5% | -13.7 pts | $40 | 0.1% |
| Oklahoma | 9¢ | 8.9% | +0.4 pts | $357 | 0.6% |
| Oregon | 8¢ | 8.0% | +1.1 pts | $1.4K | 2.4% |
| LSU | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $4.8K | 8.1% |
| Penn St. | 7¢ | 7.0% | -0.1 pts | $730 | 1.2% |
| USC | 7¢ | 7.0% | -3.5 pts | $592 | 1.0% |
| SMU | 5¢ | 5.2% | +0.8 pts | $430 | 0.7% |
| Virginia | 5¢ | 5.1% | +0.4 pts | $150 | 0.3% |
| Auburn | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.9 pts | $120 | 0.2% |
| Missouri | 5¢ | 4.5% | +0.7 pts | $170 | 0.3% |
| California | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.9 pts | $400 | 0.7% |
| Oklahoma St. | 4¢ | 4.5% | -10.1 pts | $751 | 1.3% |
| South Carolina | 4¢ | 4.4% | +0.9 pts | $220 | 0.4% |
| Pittsburgh | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.7 pts | $920 | 1.6% |
| Tulane | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $540 | 0.9% |
| Kentucky | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $80 | 0.1% |
| Vanderbilt | 4¢ | 4.2% | — | $594 | 1.0% |
| Arizona St. | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $105 | 0.2% |
| James Madison | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.2 pts | $800 | 1.4% |
| Virginia Tech | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.2 pts | $90 | 0.2% |
| Baylor | 4¢ | 3.8% | -0.1 pts | $580 | 1.0% |
| Clemson | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $230 | 0.4% |
| Louisville | 3¢ | 3.3% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K | 2.5% |
| TCU | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.1 pts | $182 | 0.3% |
| Iowa | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.2 pts | $250 | 0.4% |
| Georgia Tech | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $420 | 0.7% |
| North Texas | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K | 1.9% |
| Miami (OH) | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $360 | 0.6% |
| Florida St. | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $420 | 0.7% |
| North Carolina St. | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $800 | 1.4% |
| Illinois | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $270 | 0.5% |
| Michigan | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $407 | 0.7% |
| Texas A&M | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $5.8K | 9.8% |
| Washington | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $700 | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59.0K has been traded on this event in total, $520 of it in the last 24 hours, across 50 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the above team is seeded No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, or No. 4 in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff bracket, and "No" otherwise. If the 2026-27 College Football Playoff is canceled, or an official bracket is not released by December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all outcomes in this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the College Football Playoff (collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 401 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expensive-Struggle | Yes | 401 | $251 |
| Deadheadbucky | Yes | 378 | $236 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 256 | $96 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 197 | $74 |
| Prickly-Lacquerware | Yes | 162 | $102 |
| Pristine-Business | No | 140 | $52 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 135 | $51 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 57 | $21 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 40 | $15 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 30 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 02:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.5% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.4% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 12:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 03:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 09:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 09:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Miami (FL) at 62.5%. Next is Notre Dame at 61.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoff-top-4-seeds-20260803203916647?via=bro
$59.0K in total volume, with $520 traded in the last 24 hours across 50 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Miami (FL), priced at 62.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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