As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Notre Dame at 81.0% in NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Quarters — $15.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Notre Dame, is priced at 81.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: +19.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Notre Dame has traded between 48.5% and 85.5%. It opened at 62.0% and last traded at 80.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.5% |
Notre Dame is favored at 81.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 81¢ | 81.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.2K | 20.8% |
| Georgia | 78¢ | 78.5% | — | $625 | 4.0% |
| Miami (FL) | 76¢ | 76.5% | -1.5 pts | $718 | 4.6% |
| Ohio St. | 64¢ | 64.0% | — | $848 | 5.5% |
| Indiana | 56¢ | 56.5% | -4.5 pts | $401 | 2.6% |
| Houston | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| LSU | 46¢ | 45.5% | +12.0 pts | $1.6K | 10.1% |
| Arizona | 44¢ | 44.5% | -0.5 pts | $21 | 0.1% |
| BYU | 36¢ | 36.0% | -0.5 pts | $279 | 1.8% |
| Utah | 34¢ | 34.5% | +1.0 pts | $46 | 0.3% |
| Texas | 33¢ | 33.0% | -2.0 pts | $781 | 5.0% |
| Ole Miss | 32¢ | 31.5% | -2.5 pts | $312 | 2.0% |
| Tennessee | 32¢ | 31.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alabama | 26¢ | 26.0% | -23.5 pts | $718 | 4.6% |
| Texas Tech | 24¢ | 23.5% | -6.5 pts | $175 | 1.1% |
| Penn St. | 20¢ | 20.0% | +1.5 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| USC | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $155 | 1.0% |
| Kentucky | 20¢ | 19.9% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Missouri | 20¢ | 19.5% | +2.0 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| Michigan | 19¢ | 19.0% | -27.5 pts | $20 | 0.1% |
| James Madison | 19¢ | 18.9% | — | $5 | 0.0% |
| Virginia Tech | 19¢ | 18.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Clemson | 18¢ | 18.4% | +2.1 pts | $114 | 0.7% |
| Georgia Tech | 18¢ | 18.4% | +2.1 pts | $20 | 0.1% |
| TCU | 18¢ | 18.0% | +1.0 pts | $150 | 1.0% |
| Baylor | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arizona St. | 17¢ | 17.1% | +1.7 pts | $42 | 0.3% |
| Illinois | 17¢ | 17.0% | +1.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pittsburgh | 17¢ | 16.9% | +0.1 pts | $50 | 0.3% |
| Iowa | 16¢ | 16.0% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kansas St. | 13¢ | 13.2% | — | $266 | 1.7% |
| Oklahoma St. | 12¢ | 12.1% | — | $5 | 0.0% |
| Florida | 12¢ | 12.0% | -3.0 pts | $1.0K | 6.5% |
| Florida St. | 10¢ | 10.4% | +0.2 pts | $212 | 1.4% |
| Texas A&M | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $268 | 1.7% |
| Oregon | 9¢ | 9.3% | +0.4 pts | $818 | 5.3% |
| Oklahoma | 9¢ | 9.0% | +5.9 pts | $94 | 0.6% |
| California | 8¢ | 7.6% | -0.1 pts | $165 | 1.1% |
| Auburn | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $213 | 1.4% |
| Louisville | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.1 pts | $326 | 2.1% |
| South Carolina | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $180 | 1.2% |
| North Texas | 6¢ | 5.5% | -3.0 pts | $130 | 0.8% |
| Virginia | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $160 | 1.0% |
| Miami (OH) | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.1 pts | $93 | 0.6% |
| Washington | 4¢ | 3.8% | -0.2 pts | $165 | 1.1% |
| SMU | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.4 pts | $420 | 2.7% |
| North Carolina St. | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $180 | 1.2% |
| Vanderbilt | 2¢ | 1.6% | -0.7 pts | $106 | 0.7% |
| Tulane | 2¢ | 1.6% | +0.8 pts | $258 | 1.7% |
| Arkansas | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $155 | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.5K has been traded on this event in total, $226 of it in the last 24 hours, across 50 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the quarterfinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "quarterfinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which eight teams remain (the four first-round winners plus the four teams seeded 1–4 that received first-round byes). A team counts as reaching the quarterfinals if it is scheduled to play in a quarterfinal game, whether by receiving a top-4 seed and a first-round bye or by winning its first-round game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the quarterfinal round is not played by January 13, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://collegefootballplayoff.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,425 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 1,425 | $1.2K |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 601 | $114 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | No | 400 | $76 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | No | 187 | $36 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 153 | $29 |
| Portly-Walking | No | 50 | $10 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 40 | $32 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 20 | $4 |
| 0x57c8c27f… | No | 20 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $31 |
| Oct 22, 11:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 12:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Notre Dame at 81.0%. Next is Georgia at 78.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoffs-team-to-make-quarters-20260803204244637?via=bro
$15.5K in total volume, with $226 traded in the last 24 hours across 50 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://collegefootballplayoff.com.
Notre Dame, priced at 81.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.