As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Georgia at 49.5% in NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis — $12.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Georgia, is priced at 49.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Georgia has traded between 22.0% and 65.0%. It opened at 29.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
Georgia is favored at 49.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $524 | 4.2% |
| Arizona | 50¢ | 49.5% | +5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Auburn | 49¢ | 49.0% | +4.3 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| California | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Texas Tech | 49¢ | 49.0% | -1.0 pts | $245 | 2.0% |
| Florida | 48¢ | 48.5% | +0.5 pts | $240 | 1.9% |
| Kansas St. | 48¢ | 48.5% | +0.5 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| Clemson | 48¢ | 48.4% | -0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| BYU | 48¢ | 48.1% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Georgia Tech | 48¢ | 48.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| SMU | 48¢ | 48.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arizona St. | 48¢ | 47.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Houston | 48¢ | 47.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Iowa | 48¢ | 47.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oklahoma | 48¢ | 47.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Miami (FL) | 47¢ | 47.0% | — | $972 | 7.7% |
| Florida St. | 47¢ | 46.9% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Michigan | 46¢ | 46.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Baylor | 46¢ | 46.3% | -1.9 pts | $60 | 0.5% |
| South Carolina | 46¢ | 46.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tennessee | 46¢ | 46.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vanderbilt | 46¢ | 45.6% | +0.5 pts | $89 | 0.7% |
| Washington | 46¢ | 45.6% | -0.8 pts | $41 | 0.3% |
| Utah | 46¢ | 45.5% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Illinois | 45¢ | 45.5% | -0.4 pts | $40 | 0.3% |
| Kentucky | 45¢ | 45.3% | +0.2 pts | $81 | 0.6% |
| Missouri | 45¢ | 45.2% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| TCU | 45¢ | 45.2% | -0.7 pts | $40 | 0.3% |
| Virginia Tech | 45¢ | 45.1% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Louisville | 45¢ | 45.1% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oklahoma St. | 45¢ | 45.1% | -4.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Virginia | 45¢ | 44.6% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| North Carolina St. | 44¢ | 44.4% | -0.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pittsburgh | 44¢ | 44.4% | -1.4 pts | $40 | 0.3% |
| Notre Dame | 44¢ | 44.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.0K | 15.7% |
| USC | 44¢ | 43.6% | -2.4 pts | $21 | 0.2% |
| Texas A&M | 42¢ | 42.0% | -6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Indiana | 34¢ | 34.5% | -3.5 pts | $543 | 4.3% |
| Ohio St. | 32¢ | 32.0% | -3.5 pts | $809 | 6.5% |
| Alabama | 28¢ | 28.5% | — | $535 | 4.3% |
| Penn St. | 22¢ | 22.0% | -23.0 pts | $20 | 0.2% |
| LSU | 22¢ | 21.5% | +2.0 pts | $3.4K | 26.8% |
| Tulane | 17¢ | 17.3% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Texas | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $717 | 5.7% |
| James Madison | 15¢ | 15.0% | -0.2 pts | $20 | 0.2% |
| Miami (OH) | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $43 | 0.3% |
| Ole Miss | 13¢ | 13.0% | -6.0 pts | $60 | 0.5% |
| Oregon | 6¢ | 5.8% | -0.7 pts | $1.9K | 14.8% |
| Arkansas | 4¢ | 4.4% | -2.1 pts | $131 | 1.0% |
| North Texas | 4¢ | 4.3% | — | $77 | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 41¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 50 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://collegefootballplayoff.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 80 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 80 | $40 |
| Vibrant-Dragonfly | Yes | 76 | $37 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | Yes | 46 | $23 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 25 | $12 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 25 | $13 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 10 | $5 |
| Delicious-Fawn | No | 9 | $5 |
| Tinted-Consciousness | No | 9 | $5 |
| Rewarding-Pantologist | No | 8 | $4 |
| Known-Use | No | 5 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 09:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 20, 01:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.3% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 01:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.2% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 03:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $15 |
| Oct 18, 08:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $10 |
| Oct 17, 05:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 17, 04:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 11:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $4 |
| Oct 17, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Georgia at 49.5%. Next is Arizona at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-cfb-playoffs-team-to-make-semis-20260803204732734?via=bro
$12.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 50 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://collegefootballplayoff.com.
Georgia, priced at 49.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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