As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alabama at 50.0% in NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1 — $13.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alabama, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +32.5 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Alabama has traded between 4.0% and 50.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
Alabama is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oregon | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.0K | 14.1% |
| Notre Dame | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $1.7K | 12.4% |
| Indiana | 33¢ | 33.0% | +15.0 pts | $73 | 0.5% |
| LSU | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $60 | 0.4% |
| Texas Tech | 12¢ | 11.6% | — | $100 | 0.7% |
| Tennessee | 10¢ | 9.7% | +1.1 pts | $584 | 4.2% |
| Michigan | 5¢ | 5.1% | -0.2 pts | $188 | 1.4% |
| Oklahoma | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $280 | 2.0% |
| Florida | 5¢ | 4.6% | — | $100 | 0.7% |
| USC | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $130 | 0.9% |
| Penn St. | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $260 | 1.9% |
| Texas A&M | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $413 | 3.0% |
$13.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
Polymarket lists no fixed end date for this market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 10:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 13, 09:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 12, 02:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 12, 06:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 11:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $14 |
| Oct 10, 11:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $33 |
| Oct 10, 09:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $11 |
| Oct 10, 06:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $10 |
| Oct 08, 11:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 05:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alabama at 50.0%. Next is Oregon at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-be-ranked-1-20260803152641598?via=bro
$13.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
It resolves based on https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll.
Alabama, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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