As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Miami (FL) at 87.5% in NCAA Football: Team to make College Football Playoffs — $38.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Miami (FL), is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since September 01, 2026, Miami (FL) has traded between 50.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.5% |
Miami (FL) is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) | 88¢ | 87.5% | -1.5 pts | $90 | 0.2% |
| Georgia | 86¢ | 86.0% | +1.7 pts | $16 | 0.0% |
| Indiana | 79¢ | 79.0% | +0.5 pts | $814 | 2.1% |
| Ohio St. | 78¢ | 78.5% | — | $1.3K | 3.5% |
| Notre Dame | 72¢ | 72.5% | -4.0 pts | $185 | 0.5% |
| BYU | 69¢ | 69.0% | +6.0 pts | $976 | 2.5% |
| Ole Miss | 54¢ | 54.0% | +1.0 pts | $301 | 0.8% |
| Utah | 52¢ | 52.5% | +4.0 pts | $874 | 2.3% |
| Alabama | 48¢ | 48.5% | -8.0 pts | $1.2K | 3.1% |
| LSU | 48¢ | 47.5% | +9.0 pts | $2.2K | 5.8% |
| Texas | 38¢ | 37.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.0K | 2.7% |
| Tennessee | 36¢ | 36.5% | -1.5 pts | $302 | 0.8% |
| Kentucky | 28¢ | 28.5% | +1.0 pts | $168 | 0.4% |
| Texas Tech | 24¢ | 24.0% | -29.5 pts | $1.7K | 4.4% |
| USC | 24¢ | 24.0% | +1.0 pts | $4.4K | 11.4% |
| Florida | 23¢ | 23.0% | +2.5 pts | $1.3K | 3.5% |
| Iowa | 22¢ | 22.5% | -3.0 pts | $508 | 1.3% |
| Houston | 18¢ | 18.1% | +2.1 pts | $242 | 0.6% |
| SMU | 12¢ | 11.5% | +1.0 pts | $566 | 1.5% |
| Arizona | 10¢ | 10.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Auburn | 10¢ | 10.0% | -1.7 pts | $159 | 0.4% |
| Texas A&M | 9¢ | 9.1% | +5.2 pts | $233 | 0.6% |
| Oregon | 9¢ | 9.0% | -11.5 pts | $4.5K | 11.8% |
| Missouri | 9¢ | 9.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.3K | 6.0% |
| Michigan | 6¢ | 5.5% | -1.1 pts | $5.2K | 13.5% |
| James Madison | 6¢ | 5.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 3.2% |
| Louisville | 5¢ | 4.8% | +0.4 pts | $258 | 0.7% |
| Oklahoma St. | 5¢ | 4.8% | -0.4 pts | $264 | 0.7% |
| Baylor | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oklahoma | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.3 pts | $1.7K | 4.4% |
| Pittsburgh | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.2 pts | $335 | 0.9% |
| South Carolina | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.8 pts | $55 | 0.1% |
| Penn St. | 3¢ | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $750 | 2.0% |
| Miami (OH) | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Florida St. | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| North Texas | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kansas St. | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| California | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.2 pts | $40 | 0.1% |
| Virginia | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Georgia Tech | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.2 pts | $20 | 0.1% |
| Illinois | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.1 pts | $550 | 1.4% |
| Vanderbilt | 3¢ | 2.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.8K | 4.7% |
| Clemson | 3¢ | 2.5% | -0.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| TCU | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arizona St. | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| North Carolina St. | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arkansas | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tulane | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Virginia Tech | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $32 | 0.1% |
| Washington | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $740 | 1.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 13¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.4K has been traded on this event in total, $3.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 50 markets.
Polymarket lists no fixed end date for this market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is selected to participate in the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". If the selected team does not participate in the College Football Playoffs for any reason, this market will resolve "No". If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the participating teams cannot be determined by December 20, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://collegefootballplayoff.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 50 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted-Plaintiff | Yes | 50 | $44 |
| Bold-Health | No | 43 | $5 |
| Known-Status | No | 18 | $2 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | Yes | 11 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $237 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.5% | $545 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.9% | $198 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 05:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 05:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $337 |
| Oct 24, 05:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Miami (FL) at 87.5%. Next is Georgia at 86.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-make-college-football-playoffs-20260803190433067?via=bro
$38.4K in total volume, with $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 50 markets.
It resolves based on https://collegefootballplayoff.com.
Miami (FL), priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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