As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ohio St. at 32.5% in NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship — $50.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ohio St., is priced at 32.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: -12.5 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Ohio St. has traded between 20.0% and 61.5%. It opened at 20.5% and last traded at 32.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 32.5% |
Ohio St. is favored at 32.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio St. | 32¢ | 32.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.5K | 3.0% |
| Georgia | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $4.1K | 8.1% |
| Miami (FL) | 30¢ | 30.5% | +4.5 pts | $4.7K | 9.3% |
| Notre Dame | 28¢ | 28.0% | +2.5 pts | $7.4K | 14.8% |
| Indiana | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $1.1K | 2.2% |
| Alabama | 14¢ | 13.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.7K | 3.5% |
| BYU | 14¢ | 13.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.0K | 2.0% |
| Ole Miss | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $1.2K | 2.4% |
| LSU | 9¢ | 9.0% | +0.5 pts | $599 | 1.2% |
| Texas Tech | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $295 | 0.6% |
| Texas | 8¢ | 8.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.6K | 3.2% |
| USC | 8¢ | 8.3% | +0.9 pts | $962 | 1.9% |
| Utah | 8¢ | 8.2% | +0.3 pts | $120 | 0.2% |
| Florida | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $907 | 1.8% |
| Iowa | 7¢ | 7.2% | — | $190 | 0.4% |
| Michigan | 6¢ | 6.2% | +0.1 pts | $572 | 1.1% |
| Oregon | 6¢ | 6.0% | +0.5 pts | $522 | 1.0% |
| SMU | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $185 | 0.4% |
| Clemson | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $296 | 0.6% |
| Kentucky | 6¢ | 5.9% | — | $860 | 1.7% |
| James Madison | 6¢ | 5.9% | +0.1 pts | $853 | 1.7% |
| Houston | 6¢ | 5.8% | +0.4 pts | $353 | 0.7% |
| Kansas St. | 5¢ | 5.5% | — | $336 | 0.7% |
| Pittsburgh | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $390 | 0.8% |
| Washington | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $314 | 0.6% |
| Oklahoma St. | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $352 | 0.7% |
| Oklahoma | 5¢ | 4.9% | +2.7 pts | $724 | 1.4% |
| Texas A&M | 5¢ | 4.7% | — | $985 | 2.0% |
| Virginia Tech | 5¢ | 4.7% | +0.5 pts | $1.7K | 3.3% |
| Arkansas | 5¢ | 4.7% | — | $518 | 1.0% |
| Missouri | 4¢ | 4.5% | -1.0 pts | $280 | 0.6% |
| North Carolina St. | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $1.5K | 2.9% |
| Virginia | 4¢ | 4.2% | — | $371 | 0.7% |
| TCU | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.2 pts | $1.0K | 2.0% |
| South Carolina | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.1 pts | $570 | 1.1% |
| Vanderbilt | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $778 | 1.6% |
| Auburn | 4¢ | 3.8% | -1.2 pts | $2.4K | 4.8% |
| Penn St. | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.1 pts | $359 | 0.7% |
| Georgia Tech | 4¢ | 3.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 2.1% |
| Louisville | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $633 | 1.3% |
| California | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $983 | 2.0% |
| Illinois | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $1.6K | 3.3% |
| Florida St. | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $877 | 1.7% |
| Tulane | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $106 | 0.2% |
| Miami (OH) | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $101 | 0.2% |
| North Texas | 2¢ | 2.3% | — | $86 | 0.2% |
| Arizona | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.1 pts | $90 | 0.2% |
| Tennessee | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $121 | 0.2% |
| Arizona St. | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.1 pts | $830 | 1.7% |
| Baylor | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $88 | 0.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 33¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$50.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 50 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 08, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://collegefootballplayoff.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 116 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 116 | $78 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | No | 75 | $51 |
| Vibrant-Dragonfly | Yes | 68 | $22 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 62 | $42 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 47 | $15 |
| Known-Use | No | 47 | $32 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 46 | $15 |
| Unhealthy-Drive-Offset | Yes | 40 | $13 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 32 | $10 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 30 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 12:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 64.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ohio St. at 32.5%. Next is Georgia at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-team-to-make-national-championship-20260804160450277?via=bro
$50.2K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 50 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 08, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://collegefootballplayoff.com.
Ohio St., priced at 32.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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