As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 79.0% in Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial? — $387 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 79.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -10.0 pts; past week: -8.0 pts; past month: -19.5 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, No has traded between 52.0% and 79.0%. It opened at 78.5% and last traded at 79.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.0% |
No is favored at 79.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 79¢ | 79.0% | +10.0 pts | $387 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 21¢ | 21.0% | -10.0 pts | $387 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$387 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Benjamin Netanyahu is on trial in the Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. His testimony concluded in June 2026 and the trial is moving to closing arguments. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu is convicted of any criminal offence in this trial by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by a verdict of the court or by a plea agreement, accepted by the court, in which he pleads guilty to or admits a criminal offence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If all charges are dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other clemency before a verdict, or the case is resolved by a plea agreement in which he does not plead guilty to or admit any criminal offence, this market will resolve to “No”. A conviction on a lesser or amended charge will qualify. If no verdict has been rendered by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Sentencing and any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 95 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Even-Pinot | Yes | 95 | $20 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 50 | $40 |
| Perfumed-Venue | No | 24 | $19 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 21 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 07:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $10 |
| Oct 11, 05:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $17 |
| Sep 28, 04:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $20 |
| Sep 27, 12:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 34.0% | $22 |
| Sep 24, 03:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 40.8% | $31 |
| Sep 21, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Sep 20, 04:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $64 |
| Sep 17, 12:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.7% | $60 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 79.0%. Next is Yes at 21.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-convicted-in-corruption-trial?via=bro
$387 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 79.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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