As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.5% in Netanyahu drops out before election? — $3.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -2.1 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, No has traded between 95.8% and 99.5%. It opened at 96.5% and last traded at 99.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.4% |
No is favored at 99.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.5% | +0.1 pts | $3.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $3.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.5K has been traded on this event in total, $12 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM Jerusalem Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 629 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queasy-Cougar | No | 629 | $625 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 522 | $519 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 300 | $2 |
| Misty-Limo | Yes | 203 | $1 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 173 | $1 |
| Ironclad-Sleeping-Insurance | Yes | 149 | $1 |
| Chief-Trip | Yes | 111 | $1 |
| Unaware-Mailman | No | 100 | $99 |
| Stimulating-Milepost | Yes | 92 | $1 |
| Scientific-Guava | Yes | 73 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.9% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 11:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.9% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 12:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 12:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.6% | $553 |
| Oct 22, 12:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $73 |
| Oct 18, 11:22 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 02:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 07:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.5%. Next is Yes at 0.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-drops-out-before-election?via=bro
$3.5K in total volume, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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