As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 39.5% in Netanyahu out by...? — $124.64M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 39.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: -6.0 pts.
Since July 24, 2025, December 31 has traded between 30.5% and 73.0%. It opened at 59.0% and last traded at 41.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 41.5% |
December 31 is favored at 39.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.79M | 2.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$124.64M has been traded on this event in total, $12.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 65,581 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 65,581 | $39.7K |
| True-Grandparent | Yes | 34,743 | $13.7K |
| Amused-Watercress | Yes | 33,399 | $13.2K |
| Thirsty-Phenomenon-Snowboarding | Yes | 27,810 | $11.0K |
| Limping-Veil | No | 25,627 | $15.5K |
| Repulsive-Shackle | No | 23,690 | $14.3K |
| Soft-Statute | Yes | 21,112 | $8.3K |
| Wobbly-Pants | No | 18,344 | $11.1K |
| Married-Tenement | Yes | 11,899 | $4.7K |
| Blushing-Burro | Yes | 10,560 | $4.2K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 05:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 59.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $5.5K |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $122 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $122 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $270 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 59.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 39.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-out-before-2027?via=bro
$124.64M in total volume, with $12.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 39.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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