As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $200M at 23.0% in Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $28.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $200M, is priced at 23.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +10.0 pts; past month: +14.5 pts.
Since March 10, 2026, $200M has traded between 4.5% and 51.0%. It opened at 5.5% and last traded at 23.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 13.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 13.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 20.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 23.0% |
$200M is favored at 23.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 23¢ | 23.0% | +2.5 pts | $7.8K | 27.8% |
| $300M | 22¢ | 22.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 5.5% |
| $50M | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $3.1K | 11.2% |
| $20M | 15¢ | 15.4% | +0.1 pts | $5.7K | 20.4% |
| $100M | 14¢ | 14.5% | +1.5 pts | $2.1K | 7.5% |
| $700M | 7¢ | 6.8% | — | $3.6K | 12.7% |
| $1B | 4¢ | 3.7% | — | $1.7K | 6.1% |
| $500M | 4¢ | 3.6% | — | $2.5K | 8.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.2K has been traded on this event in total, $7 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/Neutrl
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 361 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unused-Sauerkraut | No | 361 | $278 |
| Prudent-Realization-Farrow | No | 129 | $99 |
| Profitable-Punishment | Yes | 97 | $22 |
| Skeletal-Cheetah | No | 96 | $74 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 82 | $19 |
| Brave-Awareness | Yes | 61 | $14 |
| Unpleasant-Education | Yes | 58 | $13 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 54 | $12 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 50 | $11 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 40 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 07:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 07:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.5% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 07:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 01:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 05:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.5% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 09:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.4% | $5 |
| Oct 10, 10:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 08:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.6% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $200M at 23.0%. Next is $300M at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/neutrl-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$28.2K in total volume, with $7 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/Neutrl.
$200M, priced at 23.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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