As of October 24, 2026, 08:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Cisco Aguilar (D) at 90.5% in Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner — $2.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Cisco Aguilar (D), is priced at 90.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.0 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, Cisco Aguilar (D) has traded between 47.0% and 90.5%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 90.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.5% |
Cisco Aguilar (D) is favored at 90.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Aguilar (D) | 90¢ | 90.5% | — | $1.8K | 74.9% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jim Marchant (R) | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $608 | 25.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 275 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 275 | $26 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 251 | $227 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 158 | $15 |
| Gifted-Rancher | Yes | 122 | $110 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 94 | $85 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 70 | $63 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 68 | $6 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 45 | $4 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 40 | $36 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 12:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 12:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $32 |
| Oct 21, 04:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 04:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.4% | $108 |
| Oct 21, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $21 |
| Oct 21, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Cisco Aguilar (D) at 90.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nevada-secretary-of-state-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$2.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Cisco Aguilar (D), priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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