As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.5% in New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? — $30.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -1.3 pts.
Since January 06, 2026, No has traded between 83.5% and 97.8%. It opened at 94.4% and last traded at 97.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.5% |
No is favored at 97.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 97.5% | +0.1 pts | $30.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $30.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.4K has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,907 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caring-Sultan | Yes | 5,907 | $145 |
| Unwelcome-Grin | No | 2,681 | $2.6K |
| Gigantic-Graduation | No | 1,293 | $1.3K |
| Indelible-Foundation | Yes | 1,149 | $28 |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 1,058 | $1.0K |
| Sarcastic-Stack-Polarization | No | 862 | $841 |
| Blissful-Storyboard | Yes | 740 | $18 |
| Nutty-Musician | No | 726 | $708 |
| Defensive-Sunlamp | Yes | 591 | $14 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 558 | $544 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 04:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 05:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $27 |
| Oct 22, 05:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $97 |
| Oct 22, 09:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $194 |
| Oct 22, 06:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 11:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.5%. Next is Yes at 2.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-coronavirus-pandemic-in-2026?via=bro
$30.4K in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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