As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kelly Ayotte (R) at 94.0% in New Hampshire Governor Election Winner — $50.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kelly Ayotte (R), is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.8 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.
Since October 13, 2025, Kelly Ayotte (R) has traded between 39.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 93.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.0% |
Kelly Ayotte (R) is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte (R) | 94¢ | 94.0% | — | $26.8K | 53.3% |
| Cinde Warmington (D) | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.2 pts | $23.5K | 46.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$50.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,002 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,002 | $303 |
| Wooden-Prescription | Yes | 4,341 | $4.1K |
| Ironclad-Housework | Yes | 1,076 | $1.0K |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 1,000 | $60 |
| Our-Dough | Yes | 975 | $916 |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 529 | $32 |
| Tense-Fort | No | 519 | $31 |
| Frozen-Car | Yes | 514 | $483 |
| Starry-Flanker | Yes | 400 | $376 |
| Well-Documented-Category-Tissue | No | 400 | $24 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.1% | $61 |
| Oct 24, 03:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.1% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.6% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 09:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.9% | $24 |
| Oct 22, 06:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.8% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 04:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 6.2% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.2% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kelly Ayotte (R) at 94.0%. Next is Cinde Warmington (D) at 5.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-hampshire-governor-winner-2026?via=bro
$50.2K in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kelly Ayotte (R), priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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