Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Deb Haaland (D) at 95.1% in New Mexico Governor Election Winner — $87.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.3K.
Leading outcome
Deb Haaland (D)
95%
A 95.1% price implies roughly a 95-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +0.8 pts30D −0.4 pts
Deb Haaland (D)95.1%
Gregg Hull (R)5.0%
Bid
94¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 13, 2025: 50.0% – 96.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Category
New Mexico Midterm, Governor Elections, Midterms, US Election, Politics, Elections
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$87.6K
Volume (24h)
$1.3K
Liquidity
$102.0K
Markets
13
Leading outcome
Deb Haaland (D) — 95.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Deb Haaland (D), is priced at 95.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.8 pts; past month: -0.4 pts.

Since October 13, 2025, Deb Haaland (D) has traded between 50.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 95.1%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202691.5%
Oct 15, 202695.0%
Oct 16, 202694.5%
Oct 18, 202694.0%
Oct 19, 202694.0%
Oct 20, 202695.2%
Oct 24, 202695.1%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Deb Haaland (D) is favored at 95.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Deb Haaland (D)95¢95.1%—$52.3K59.7%
Gregg Hull (R)5¢5.0%+0.7 pts$35.3K40.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$87.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11,960 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Closed-BarracksYes11,960$11.4K
0xa5ef39c3…No8,842$433
Noxious-Dioxide-JunkNo8,309$407
Wooden-PrescriptionYes2,511$2.4K
Little-GoldNo1,545$76
Prickly-EyrieYes1,197$1.1K
Flashy-LabelYes1,050$999
Attentive-CrewmanNo952$47
Woeful-Wrinkle-ApproachYes907$862
Billy2025Yes667$635

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $981 at 94.1%BUY No — $911 at 96.0%BUY No — $388 at 97.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:10 AM ETNoSELL94.1%$981
Oct 24, 12:16 AM ETYesSELL2.8%$8
Oct 22, 09:17 PM ETYesSELL3.3%$1
Oct 22, 07:09 PM ETNoBUY4.4%$1
Oct 22, 11:47 AM ETYesSELL4.0%$2
Oct 22, 11:41 AM ETNoBUY97.0%$70
Oct 22, 11:41 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 22, 11:41 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 22, 11:41 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 22, 11:41 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of New Mexico Governor Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Deb Haaland (D) at 95.1%. Next is Gregg Hull (R) at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-mexico-governor-winner-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on New Mexico Governor Election Winner?

$87.6K in total volume, with $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.

When does New Mexico Governor Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of New Mexico Governor Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Deb Haaland (D), priced at 95.1% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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