Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Labor at 71.0% in New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election — $6.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $119.
Leading outcome
Labor
71%
A 71.0% price implies roughly a 71-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −7.0 pts7D +18.5 pts
Labor71.0%
Party A50.0%
Bid
62¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
18¢
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Range since October 09, 2026: 47.5% – 78.0% · Opened at 47.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election
Category
Politics, Australia, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections
Scheduled end
March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$6.0K
Volume (24h)
$119
Liquidity
$58.4K
Markets
19
Leading outcome
Labor — 71.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Labor, is priced at 71.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.0 pts; past week: +18.5 pts.

Since October 09, 2026, Labor has traded between 47.5% and 78.0%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 71.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202653.5%
Oct 18, 202653.0%
Oct 19, 202662.0%
Oct 20, 202661.0%
Oct 22, 202672.0%
Oct 23, 202678.0%
Oct 24, 202671.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Labor is favored at 71.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Labor71¢71.0%-7.0 pts$2.0K33.7%
Party A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Party J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Liberal–National12¢12.5%-1.0 pts$1.4K23.5%
Libertarian5¢5.2%-0.1 pts$62210.4%
One Nation4¢4.5%+0.1 pts$2884.8%
Greens4¢3.9%+1.1 pts$5158.6%
Animal Justice1¢0.9%-0.1 pts$3275.5%
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers1¢0.5%-0.1 pts$4898.2%
Legalise Cannabis0¢0.4%-0.2 pts$3255.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $119 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper house) following the next New South Wales state election, including both members elected at this election and continuing members whose terms do not expire at this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats held by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats held in the Legislative Council following the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received in the Legislative Council election, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 501 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes501$356
0xa5ef39c3…No393$114
Belated-GlueNo215$62
Treasured-Liner-CheddarYes140$99
Known-UseNo70$20
Skeletal-LiverYes20$14
Classic-ParallelogramYes20$14
Pointed-WildernessNo12$3
Putrid-Elevation-PassbookYes9$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $220 at 76.7%BUY No — $85 at 99.7%BUY No — $84 at 99.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 12:58 PM ETNoBUY19.0%$16
Oct 24, 12:58 PM ETNoBUY19.0%$1
Oct 24, 12:58 PM ETNoBUY89.0%$4
Oct 24, 12:58 PM ETNoBUY99.3%$5
Oct 23, 12:18 PM ETYesBUY3.4%$1
Oct 23, 10:14 AM ETNoBUY26.0%$5
Oct 22, 11:32 AM ETNoSELL23.6%$12
Oct 22, 10:08 AM ETYesBUY69.0%$69
Oct 22, 08:58 AM ETYesSELL21.0%$5
Oct 21, 10:50 PM ETNoSELL30.0%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Labor at 71.0%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-legislative-council-most-seats-after-election?via=bro

How much money has been traded on New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election?

$6.0K in total volume, with $119 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.

When does New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election end?

The market is scheduled to end March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election, according to Polymarket traders?

Labor, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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