As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Labor at 71.0% in New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election — $6.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Labor, is priced at 71.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -7.0 pts; past week: +18.5 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, Labor has traded between 47.5% and 78.0%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 71.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.0% |
Labor is favored at 71.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | 71¢ | 71.0% | -7.0 pts | $2.0K | 33.7% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Liberal–National | 12¢ | 12.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.4K | 23.5% |
| Libertarian | 5¢ | 5.2% | -0.1 pts | $622 | 10.4% |
| One Nation | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.1 pts | $288 | 4.8% |
| Greens | 4¢ | 3.9% | +1.1 pts | $515 | 8.6% |
| Animal Justice | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $327 | 5.5% |
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $489 | 8.2% |
| Legalise Cannabis | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.2 pts | $325 | 5.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $119 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper house) following the next New South Wales state election, including both members elected at this election and continuing members whose terms do not expire at this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats held by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats held in the Legislative Council following the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received in the Legislative Council election, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 501 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | Yes | 501 | $356 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 393 | $114 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 215 | $62 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 140 | $99 |
| Known-Use | No | 70 | $20 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Classic-Parallelogram | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 12 | $3 |
| Putrid-Elevation-Passbook | Yes | 9 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.3% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 11:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 23.6% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 10:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $69 |
| Oct 22, 08:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 10:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Labor at 71.0%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-legislative-council-most-seats-after-election?via=bro
$6.0K in total volume, with $119 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Labor, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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