As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Su Chiao-hui at 55.5% in New Taipei Mayor Election Winner — $151.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Su Chiao-hui, is priced at 55.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: -4.5 pts; past month: +29.5 pts.
Since August 14, 2026, Su Chiao-hui has traded between 12.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 18.5% and last traded at 55.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
Su Chiao-hui is favored at 55.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 56¢ | 55.5% | +3.0 pts | $83.7K | 55.4% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 44¢ | 44.5% | -2.5 pts | $66.1K | 43.7% |
| Huang Kuo-chang | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 0.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 54¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$151.0K has been traded on this event in total, $836 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolution source: https://db.cec.gov.tw/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 24,433 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 24,433 | $10.9K |
| Earnest-Annual | Yes | 4,720 | $2.6K |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 4,159 | $1.9K |
| Infantile-Observation | Yes | 3,924 | $2.2K |
| Gummy-Hook | Yes | 3,196 | $1.8K |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 3,158 | $1.8K |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 2,428 | $1.3K |
| Competent-Engineering | Yes | 2,198 | $1.2K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 2,082 | $1.2K |
| Tasty-Hatbox-Guilt | No | 1,792 | $797 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.5% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 04:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 04:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 04:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 12:28 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 06:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Su Chiao-hui at 55.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857200?via=bro
$151.0K in total volume, with $836 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://db.cec.gov.tw/.
Su Chiao-hui, priced at 55.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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