As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? — $71.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since March 03, 2026, No has traded between 5.0% and 99.1%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 98.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.4% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | -0.5 pts | $71.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.5% | +0.5 pts | $71.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$71.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shameless-Print | Yes | 1,000 | $15 |
| Tragic-Scorpion | No | 815 | $803 |
| Impassioned-Watch | No | 514 | $506 |
| Complicated-Innovation | No | 262 | $258 |
| Female-Tailbud | Yes | 208 | $3 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | Yes | 200 | $3 |
| Evil-Row | No | 166 | $163 |
| Twin-Worship | Yes | 150 | $2 |
| Stale-Cashew | Yes | 100 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 74 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $209 |
| Oct 18, 09:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $149 |
| Oct 15, 01:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $7 |
| Oct 14, 11:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $2 |
| Oct 10, 03:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $9 |
| Oct 10, 03:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $54 |
| Oct 09, 10:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $5 |
| Oct 07, 12:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.5% | $3 |
| Oct 05, 01:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 01:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-virginia-congressional-map-used-in-the-midterms?via=bro
$71.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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