As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bruce Blakeman (R) at 73.5% in New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner — $30.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Bruce Blakeman (R), is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +7.5 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Bruce Blakeman (R) has traded between 30.5% and 86.5%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 73.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.5% |
Bruce Blakeman (R) is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | 74¢ | 73.5% | +1.5 pts | $18.8K | 62.3% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 24¢ | 24.0% | +1.0 pts | $11.3K | 37.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.1K has been traded on this event in total, $165 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,770 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,770 | $469 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 567 | $417 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 500 | $368 |
| Jovial-Diary | Yes | 270 | $199 |
| Expert-Bonfire | Yes | 210 | $154 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 205 | $151 |
| Pertinent-Parachute | Yes | 197 | $145 |
| Known-Use | No | 145 | $39 |
| Careful-Bunch | No | 128 | $34 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 125 | $33 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 10:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 03:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 01:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 01:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $29 |
| Oct 23, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 73.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 04:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bruce Blakeman (R) at 73.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-governor-election-nassau-county-winner?via=bro
$30.1K in total volume, with $165 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Bruce Blakeman (R), priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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