As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 72.0% in Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...? — $7.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 72.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, December 31 has traded between 66.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 75.0% and last traded at 70.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 70.5% |
December 31 is favored at 72.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 72¢ | 72.0% | +1.5 pts | $1.5K | 20.8% |
| November 30 | 62¢ | 62.5% | -0.5 pts | $5.4K | 74.4% |
| November 15 | 46¢ | 46.0% | -5.5 pts | $345 | 4.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.2K has been traded on this event in total, $381 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-6 Sol or GPT-6.1 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Sol (released September 29, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 161 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 161 | $45 |
| Buoyant-Belly | Yes | 100 | $72 |
| Threadbare-Investor-Traffic | Yes | 45 | $32 |
| Possible-Vase-Minimalism | Yes | 42 | $30 |
| Scary-Holder | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 20 | $6 |
| Fuzzy-Draft | No | 20 | $6 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 18 | $13 |
| 0x46299616… | No | 15 | $4 |
| Qualified-Gram | Yes | 9 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 03:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:09 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 01:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 11:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 11:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 10:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 03:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 72.0%. Next is November 30 at 62.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-sol-6pt2-released-byptptpt?via=bro
$7.2K in total volume, with $381 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 72.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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