Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 72.0% in Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...? — $7.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $381.
Leading outcome
December 31
72%
A 72.0% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts7D +5.5 pts
December 3172.0%
November 3062.5%
Bid
68¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
8¢
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Range since October 01, 2026: 66.0% – 89.0% · Opened at 75.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?
Category
AI, gpt, Tech, OpenAI, GPT Sol, Recurring, AI Releases
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$7.2K
Volume (24h)
$381
Liquidity
$1.4K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
December 31 — 72.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 72.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, December 31 has traded between 66.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 75.0% and last traded at 70.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202678.5%
Oct 17, 202669.0%
Oct 18, 202678.0%
Oct 19, 202670.0%
Oct 20, 202672.5%
Oct 22, 202687.0%
Oct 23, 202670.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 72.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3172¢72.0%+1.5 pts$1.5K20.8%
November 3062¢62.5%-0.5 pts$5.4K74.4%
November 1546¢46.0%-5.5 pts$3454.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$7.2K has been traded on this event in total, $381 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-6 Sol or GPT-6.1 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Sol (released September 29, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 161 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueNo161$45
Buoyant-BellyYes100$72
Threadbare-Investor-TrafficYes45$32
Possible-Vase-MinimalismYes42$30
Scary-HolderYes20$14
Embarrassed-Hill-FoldNo20$6
Fuzzy-DraftNo20$6
Required-HornYes18$13
0x46299616…No15$4
Qualified-GramYes9$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $146 at 60.9%BUY Yes — $135 at 53.8%BUY No — $41 at 43.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:53 PM ETYesBUY72.0%$22
Oct 24, 03:51 PM ETYesBUY63.0%$9
Oct 24, 03:09 PM ETNoSELL58.0%$12
Oct 24, 01:48 PM ETYesBUY70.0%$10
Oct 24, 11:25 AM ETNoBUY51.0%$6
Oct 24, 11:04 AM ETNoBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 11:04 AM ETNoBUY28.0%$22
Oct 24, 10:50 AM ETYesBUY66.0%$13
Oct 24, 08:02 AM ETYesBUY46.0%$18
Oct 24, 03:11 AM ETYesBUY71.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 72.0%. Next is November 30 at 62.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-gpt-sol-6pt2-released-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...??

$7.2K in total volume, with $381 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 72.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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