Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No HR in 2026 at 50.5% in Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? — $30.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $71.
Leading outcome
No HR in 2026
50%
A 50.5% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −6.5 pts30D −22.0 pts
No HR in 202650.5%
Person B50.0%
Bid
39¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
23¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 06, 2026: 27.5% – 77.5% · Opened at 40.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
Category
Trump, Bosnia, Politics, Elections, diplomacy, Main Election, Global Elections, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$30.2K
Volume (24h)
$71
Liquidity
$22.5K
Markets
33
Leading outcome
No HR in 2026 — 50.5%
Resolution source
https://www.ohr.int/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No HR in 2026, is priced at 50.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -6.5 pts; past month: -22.0 pts.

Since July 06, 2026, No HR in 2026 has traded between 27.5% and 77.5%. It opened at 40.0% and last traded at 50.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202662.5%
Oct 16, 202659.0%
Oct 18, 202659.5%
Oct 19, 202651.0%
Oct 20, 202651.5%
Oct 23, 202650.5%
Oct 24, 202650.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No HR in 2026 is favored at 50.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No HR in 202650¢50.5%—$17.2K57.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
William Ruger25¢24.7%-4.1 pts$3861.3%
Maurizio Massari12¢12.0%+1.1 pts$4341.4%
Louis J. Crishock8¢8.5%-2.1 pts$3571.2%
René Troccaz7¢7.0%—$5.2K17.4%
Antonio Zanardi Landi7¢7.0%+0.6 pts$6.2K20.7%
Peter Sørensen4¢4.4%-0.9 pts$3381.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$30.2K has been traded on this event in total, $71 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by Peace Implementation Council Steering Board. Any acting, interim, or caretaker High Representative will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such High Representative is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No HR in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Peace Implementation Council Steering Board and the Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.ohr.int/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.ohr.int/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 238 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes238$120
0xa5ef39c3…No212$105
Straight-ApprehensionYes100$50
Infatuated-NunNo89$44
Arid-CinemaYes80$40
Skeletal-LiverYes58$29
Direct-ChainstayNo47$23
Sardonic-CaperNo46$23
Rotten-EmpowermentNo38$19
Gleaming-HandlebarYes26$13

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $214 at 94.0%BUY No — $46 at 95.0%SELL No — $30 at 75.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:02 PM ETYesBUY51.0%$11
Oct 23, 11:46 PM ETYesBUY7.0%$1
Oct 23, 10:47 AM ETNoSELL48.0%$10
Oct 23, 10:43 AM ETYesBUY50.0%$10
Oct 23, 10:39 AM ETNoBUY44.0%$9
Oct 23, 10:28 AM ETNoBUY47.0%$7
Oct 23, 10:28 AM ETNoSELL49.0%$10
Oct 21, 07:55 PM ETYesSELL8.2%$1
Oct 21, 07:55 PM ETNoBUY91.8%$11
Oct 21, 07:55 PM ETYesSELL8.6%$8

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No HR in 2026 at 50.5%. Next is Person B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-high-representative-for-bosnia-in-2026-20260705194510727?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026??

$30.2K in total volume, with $71 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.

When does Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ohr.int/.

What is the most likely outcome of Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No HR in 2026, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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