As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Person N at 50.0% in Next Israeli Minister of National Security? — $73.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Person N, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Person N is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 37¢ | 37.0% | +0.5 pts | $20.9K | 28.6% |
| Yoram Cohen | 14¢ | 14.5% | +4.0 pts | $8.4K | 11.5% |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 11¢ | 10.7% | +10.4 pts | $1.5K | 2.1% |
| Yair Golan | 8¢ | 7.8% | +1.8 pts | $426 | 0.6% |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 7¢ | 7.0% | -0.5 pts | $4.6K | 6.4% |
| Yoav Segalovich | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $667 | 0.9% |
| Talya Lankri | 5¢ | 4.7% | +0.2 pts | $7.7K | 10.5% |
| Ofer Winter | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $8.8K | 12.1% |
| Yoaz Hendel | 4¢ | 4.2% | +3.4 pts | $470 | 0.6% |
| Matan Kahana | 3¢ | 3.5% | -3.0 pts | $11.3K | 15.5% |
| Elazar Stern | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $2.9K | 4.0% |
| Amir Ohana | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $1.3K | 1.8% |
| Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $355 | 0.5% |
| Avi Dichter | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $781 | 1.1% |
| Eli Cohen | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $331 | 0.5% |
| Meirav Ben-Ari | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $286 | 0.4% |
| Ram Ben-Barak | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $412 | 0.6% |
| Yossi Cohen | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $861 | 1.2% |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$73.1K has been traded on this event in total, $2.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of National Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of National Security are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of National Security assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 713 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 713 | $356 |
| Queasy-Cougar | Yes | 188 | $94 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 124 | $62 |
| Blue-Bend | Yes | 122 | $61 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 58 | $29 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 38 | $19 |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 35 | $18 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Glossy-Believer | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $70 |
| Oct 24, 12:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 63.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 10:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 09:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.4% | $398 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $65 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Person N at 50.0%. Next is Person O at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-national-security?via=bro
$73.1K in total volume, with $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Person N, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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