As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 at 83.0% in Next James Bond announced by...? — $11.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, 2027, is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +6.5 pts.
Since October 07, 2026, March 31, 2027 has traded between 75.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.0% |
March 31, 2027 is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 83¢ | 83.0% | -3.0 pts | $2.6K | 22.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 78¢ | 78.0% | -2.5 pts | $5.5K | 47.5% |
| October 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 2.0% | -7.5 pts | $3.6K | 30.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 77¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.6K has been traded on this event in total, $558 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 224 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 224 | $38 |
| Cooked-Independent | No | 200 | $34 |
| Probable-Site | Yes | 196 | $163 |
| Minty-Maternity | Yes | 162 | $134 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 81 | $14 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | Yes | 60 | $49 |
| Well-Worn-Lounge | Yes | 55 | $46 |
| Threadbare-Investor-Traffic | Yes | 43 | $36 |
| Grim-Cob | Yes | 25 | $21 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 19 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $55 |
| Oct 24, 06:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $252 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.2% | $103 |
| Oct 23, 10:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $39 |
| Oct 23, 07:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 83.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 78.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-announced-by?via=bro
$11.6K in total volume, with $558 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
March 31, 2027, priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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