Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Princess Faku at 63.0% in Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)? — $30.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Princess Faku
63%
A 63.0% price implies roughly a 63-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts7D −7.5 pts30D −14.5 pts
Princess Faku63.0%
Person B50.0%
Bid
61¢
Ask
65¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 18, 2026: 40.0% – 87.5% · Opened at 42.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
Category
Politics, Elections, South Africa, Main Election, Global Elections, Mayoral Elections, South Africa Municipal Elections
Scheduled end
November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$30.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$81.9K
Markets
34
Leading outcome
Princess Faku — 63.0%
Resolution source
https://elections.org.za

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Princess Faku, is priced at 63.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -7.5 pts; past month: -14.5 pts.

Since August 18, 2026, Princess Faku has traded between 40.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 42.0% and last traded at 61.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202675.5%
Oct 16, 202671.0%
Oct 18, 202669.5%
Oct 19, 202669.5%
Oct 20, 202671.0%
Oct 22, 202668.0%
Oct 23, 202661.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Princess Faku is favored at 63.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Princess Faku63¢63.0%+1.0 pts$21.0K69.6%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Ncedo Kumbaca16¢16.5%+1.0 pts$3.4K11.3%
Mkhululi Dlevu3¢3.3%-0.1 pts$6142.0%
Simphiwe Dzengwa3¢2.9%—$3531.2%
Nocawe Mafu2¢2.5%+0.1 pts$1.1K3.7%
Nqabayomzi Kwankwa2¢2.4%+0.1 pts$7142.4%
Yomelela Tyali2¢1.6%-2.1 pts$1.3K4.3%
Bongiwe Sauli1¢0.5%—$1.7K5.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 65¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$30.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Buffalo City’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Buffalo City following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Buffalo City Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://elections.org.za

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,051 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityYes2,051$1.3K
0xa5ef39c3…No769$285
Wan-GymnasticsNo377$139
Quarterly-CompressNo315$117
Wilted-Burden-SurvivorNo300$111
Treasured-Liner-CheddarNo222$82
Pale-BirdwatcherNo187$69
Arid-CinemaYes150$94
Weepy-BidetNo100$37
Unfolded-FishYes86$54

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $699 at 85.7%SELL Yes — $395 at 84.9%SELL No — $201 at 99.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 07:02 AM ETNoBUY26.0%$42
Oct 23, 05:58 AM ETYesBUY84.0%$10
Oct 23, 05:58 AM ETYesBUY84.0%$10
Oct 23, 05:57 AM ETYesBUY84.0%$10
Oct 23, 05:57 AM ETYesBUY84.0%$42
Oct 20, 02:13 AM ETYesBUY67.0%$16
Oct 19, 11:01 PM ETYesSELL19.0%$10
Oct 19, 10:41 PM ETYesBUY68.0%$34
Oct 19, 06:23 PM ETNoBUY30.0%$6
Oct 19, 06:16 PM ETYesBUY13.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Princess Faku at 63.0%. Next is Person B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-buffalo-city-east-london?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)??

$30.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.

When does Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.org.za.

What is the most likely outcome of Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?, according to Polymarket traders?

Princess Faku, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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