As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Person J at 50.0% in Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)? — $39.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Person J, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Person J is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haniff Hoosen | 34¢ | 33.5% | -0.5 pts | $9.6K | 24.3% |
| Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi | 7¢ | 7.4% | -8.0 pts | $2.3K | 5.8% |
| Mkhuleko Hlengwa | 6¢ | 6.5% | -19.0 pts | $5.6K | 14.2% |
| Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.1 pts | $3.3K | 8.3% |
| Thabani Nyawose | 5¢ | 5.3% | -0.2 pts | $531 | 1.4% |
| Cyril Xaba | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.1 pts | $9.1K | 23.0% |
| Philani Mavundla | 2¢ | 2.1% | -3.2 pts | $263 | 0.7% |
| Maggie Govender | 1¢ | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $326 | 0.8% |
| Zandile Gumede | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $2.2K | 5.5% |
| Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $385 | 1.0% |
| Zwakele Mncwango | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.5K | 8.9% |
| Nomusa Dube-Ncube | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 3.0% |
| Mina Soma-Lesoma | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 3.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$39.3K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://elections.org.za
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,682 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,682 | $841 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,115 | $557 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 222 | $111 |
| Glossy-Believer | Yes | 117 | $59 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Worthy-Jockey | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 26 | $13 |
| Advanced-Mailer | Yes | 22 | $11 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.8% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $33 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Person J at 50.0%. Next is Person K at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban?via=bro
$39.3K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.org.za.
Person J, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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