As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Helen Zille at 51.5% in Next Mayor of Johannesburg? — $135.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Helen Zille, is priced at 51.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -17.5 pts.
Since June 10, 2026, Helen Zille has traded between 35.0% and 69.5%. It opened at 35.0% and last traded at 51.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.5% |
Helen Zille is favored at 51.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Zille | 52¢ | 51.5% | +1.5 pts | $55.1K | 40.8% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AA | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AB | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AC | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AD | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AE | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AF | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AG | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AH | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AI | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AJ | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person AK | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Makhura | 13¢ | 12.7% | +0.1 pts | $4.5K | 3.3% |
| Herman Mashaba | 7¢ | 6.9% | +0.9 pts | $17.4K | 12.9% |
| Frank Chikane | 7¢ | 6.8% | -1.6 pts | $30.8K | 22.8% |
| Lukhona Mnguni | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $1.0K | 0.7% |
| Loyiso Masuku | 3¢ | 3.3% | -0.1 pts | $20.8K | 15.4% |
| Kenny Kunene | 2¢ | 2.4% | -2.4 pts | $3.8K | 2.8% |
| Dada Morero | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.5K | 1.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 52¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$135.0K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://elections.org.za
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,968 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,968 | $1.4K |
| Near-Familiar | Yes | 1,681 | $866 |
| Grubby-Replica | Yes | 1,110 | $572 |
| Immaterial-Stalk | No | 1,000 | $485 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 870 | $422 |
| Cuddly-Folder | Yes | 818 | $421 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 674 | $347 |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 544 | $264 |
| Partial-Adrenalin | No | 463 | $225 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 440 | $213 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.3% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.8% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $79 |
| Oct 23, 04:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 03:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 52.7% | $57 |
| Oct 23, 06:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $56 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Helen Zille at 51.5%. Next is Person E at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-johannesburg-20260609220245506?via=bro
$135.0K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.org.za.
Helen Zille, priced at 51.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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