As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bongani Mathae at 56.8% in Next Mayor of Mangaung (Bloemfontein)? — $49.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Bongani Mathae, is priced at 56.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.2 pts; past week: +1.9 pts; past month: +41.2 pts.
Since August 24, 2026, Bongani Mathae has traded between 0.2% and 60.5%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.9% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 55.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 57.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.5% |
Bongani Mathae is favored at 56.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bongani Mathae | 57¢ | 56.8% | +3.2 pts | $311 | 0.6% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vusimuzi Soqaga | 24¢ | 24.2% | -11.0 pts | $180 | 0.4% |
| Werner Pretorius | 22¢ | 22.5% | -0.5 pts | $10.6K | 21.5% |
| Lulaman Oditi-Titi | 12¢ | 12.2% | — | $273 | 0.6% |
| Gregory Nthatisi | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $34.0K | 69.3% |
| Motshewa Tladi | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.8 pts | $84 | 0.2% |
| Sekhopi Malebo | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.1 pts | $2.6K | 5.3% |
| Thabo Manyoni | 4¢ | 3.9% | — | $220 | 0.4% |
| Sam Matiase | 3¢ | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $800 | 1.6% |
| Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $59 | 0.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 38¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$49.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://elections.org.za
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 429 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 429 | $186 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 370 | $210 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 96 | $55 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 29 | $13 |
| Unfolded-Fish | No | 24 | $10 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 10 | $6 |
| Brown-Destination | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 12:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 09:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.8% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 12:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 12:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 10:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.8% | $20 |
| Oct 15, 04:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.7% | $20 |
| Oct 12, 02:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 11, 08:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $50 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bongani Mathae at 56.8%. Next is Person H at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-mangaung-bloemfontein?via=bro
$49.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.org.za.
Bongani Mathae, priced at 56.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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