As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Cilliers Brink at 51.0% in Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)? — $26.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Cilliers Brink, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +20.5 pts; past month: -13.5 pts.
Since August 18, 2026, Cilliers Brink has traded between 28.0% and 70.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 51.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 51.0% |
Cilliers Brink is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cilliers Brink | 51¢ | 51.0% | +0.5 pts | $17.2K | 65.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nasiphi Moya | 30¢ | 30.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.9K | 22.4% |
| Aaron Maluleka | 17¢ | 16.8% | +2.2 pts | $573 | 2.2% |
| Tlangi Mogale | 6¢ | 5.8% | +0.5 pts | $830 | 3.1% |
| Phumeza Mangcu | 6¢ | 5.8% | -2.4 pts | $299 | 1.1% |
| Patience Moropa | 6¢ | 5.5% | +1.6 pts | $348 | 1.3% |
| Chana Pilane-Majake | 5¢ | 5.2% | -0.9 pts | $107 | 0.4% |
| Kgoši Maepa | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $159 | 0.6% |
| Omphile Maotwe | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 3.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$26.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://elections.org.za
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,717 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearful-Congress | No | 1,717 | $841 |
| Tense-Precedent | Yes | 1,678 | $856 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 620 | $304 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 342 | $174 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 327 | $167 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 290 | $142 |
| Classic-Parallelogram | Yes | 222 | $113 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 200 | $102 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 187 | $91 |
| Melodic-Cria | Yes | 145 | $74 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 12:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $28 |
| Oct 22, 12:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $24 |
| Oct 21, 06:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 06:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 05:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $40 |
| Oct 21, 04:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 19, 08:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 03:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.0% | $18 |
| Oct 19, 12:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Cilliers Brink at 51.0%. Next is Person F at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-tshwane-pretoria?via=bro
$26.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.org.za.
Cilliers Brink, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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