As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Manuela Schwesig at 96.5% in Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? — $44.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Manuela Schwesig, is priced at 96.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.6 pts; past month: -1.6 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, Manuela Schwesig has traded between 80.0% and 98.2%. It opened at 87.5% and last traded at 96.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.5% |
Manuela Schwesig is favored at 96.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuela Schwesig | 96¢ | 96.5% | -0.1 pts | $37.1K | 83.8% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Leif-Erik Holm | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $2.8K | 6.3% |
| Enrico Schult | 2¢ | 2.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.2K | 2.7% |
| Daniel Peters | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.2 pts | $1.1K | 2.4% |
| Simone Oldenburg | 0¢ | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $566 | 1.3% |
| Jakob Schirmer | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $816 | 1.8% |
| Claudia Müller | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $786 | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$44.2K has been traded on this event in total, $200 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,517 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insubstantial-Design | No | 3,517 | $125 |
| Sparse-Outset | Yes | 2,053 | $2.0K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,730 | $61 |
| Neglected-Count | Yes | 1,650 | $1.6K |
| Shameful-Cinnamon | Yes | 1,111 | $1.1K |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 1,000 | $964 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 605 | $584 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 581 | $21 |
| Evil-Row | No | 580 | $21 |
| Smart-Lava | Yes | 478 | $461 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.9% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $49 |
| Oct 23, 11:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $48 |
| Oct 22, 11:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.9% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 11:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $49 |
| Oct 22, 11:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.5% | $48 |
| Oct 20, 08:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 11:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 11:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Manuela Schwesig at 96.5%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-ministerprasident-of-mecklenburg-vorpommern-1786117615441?via=bro
$44.2K in total volume, with $200 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Manuela Schwesig, priced at 96.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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