As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ulrich Siegmund at 80.5% in Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? — $499.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ulrich Siegmund, is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +10.0 pts; past month: +24.5 pts.
Since August 11, 2026, Ulrich Siegmund has traded between 22.5% and 83.0%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 80.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.5% |
Ulrich Siegmund is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulrich Siegmund | 80¢ | 80.5% | +1.5 pts | $382.9K | 76.7% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sven Schulze | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.3 pts | $86.5K | 17.3% |
| Sepp Müller | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $5.2K | 1.0% |
| Claudia Wittig | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $4.0K | 0.8% |
| Eva von Angern | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.8K | 0.6% |
| Armin Willingmann | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $3.9K | 0.8% |
| Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 0.5% |
| Lydia Hüskens | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.4K | 0.5% |
| Thomas Schulze | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.9K | 0.6% |
| Franziska Weidinger | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.3K | 0.7% |
| André Schröder | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.4K | 0.3% |
| Tamara Zieschang | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 0.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$499.4K has been traded on this event in total, $6.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 35 markets.
This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 18,929 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajar-Sportsman | No | 18,929 | $3.7K |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet | Yes | 10,574 | $8.5K |
| Active-Flume | Yes | 8,768 | $7.1K |
| Nautical-Schooner-Athlete | Yes | 6,161 | $5.0K |
| Sparse-Outset | No | 5,863 | $1.1K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,640 | $1.1K |
| Flat-Tenet | No | 5,000 | $975 |
| Burdensome-Labor | Yes | 4,716 | $3.8K |
| Dead-Lava | Yes | 4,444 | $3.6K |
| Shameful-Cinnamon | Yes | 4,035 | $3.2K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 04:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.8% | $1.1K |
| Oct 24, 04:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.0% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 03:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $111 |
| Oct 24, 02:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $92 |
| Oct 24, 12:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.0% | $113 |
| Oct 24, 04:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.3% | $27 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ulrich Siegmund at 80.5%. Next is Candidate E at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-ministerprasident-of-sachsen-anhalt-20260806155819619?via=bro
$499.4K in total volume, with $6.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 35 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Ulrich Siegmund, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.