Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next Premier of British Columbia

As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lorne Doerkson at 90.5% in Next Premier of British Columbia — $236.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $8.9K.
Leading outcome
Lorne Doerkson
90%
A 90.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.5 pts7D +14.0 pts30D +41.5 pts
Lorne Doerkson90.5%
Person A50.0%
Bid
89¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 23, 2026: 28.5% – 92.0% · Opened at 28.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next Premier of British Columbia
Category
Canada, Politics, Elections, Main Election, British Columbia, Global Elections, World Elections
Scheduled end
October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$236.1K
Volume (24h)
$8.9K
Liquidity
$253.4K
Markets
33
Leading outcome
Lorne Doerkson — 90.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Lorne Doerkson, is priced at 90.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +14.0 pts; past month: +41.5 pts.

Since September 23, 2026, Lorne Doerkson has traded between 28.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 28.5% and last traded at 92.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202679.5%
Oct 16, 202678.5%
Oct 18, 202677.5%
Oct 19, 202677.5%
Oct 20, 202684.5%
Oct 22, 202689.5%
Oct 23, 202692.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Lorne Doerkson is favored at 90.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Lorne Doerkson90¢90.5%-1.5 pts$94.9K40.2%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
David Eby8¢8.5%+0.4 pts$123.3K52.2%
John Rustad0¢0.1%—$1.0K0.4%
Peter Milobar0¢0.1%—$2.0K0.9%
Emily Lowan0¢0.1%—$6.7K2.8%
Dallas Brodie0¢0.1%—$8.1K3.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$236.1K has been traded on this event in total, $8.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

The 2026 British Columbia general election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of British Columbia as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of British Columbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 17,111 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No17,111$1.6K
mrworldwideYes16,466$14.9K
Solid-PorcelainNo2,509$238
Measly-GelatinYes1,633$1.5K
Silver-AccordionYes1,539$1.4K
Caring-EclipseNo1,521$145
Faithful-LoopholeNo1,377$131
Bogus-Cod-UpdateYes1,165$1.1K
Vibrant-ShofarNo1,159$110
Lonely-Pronunciation-JewelleryYes1,091$987

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $440 at 93.7%BUY No — $267 at 92.9%BUY No — $248 at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:00 PM ETNoBUY91.5%$21
Oct 24, 06:38 PM ETYesBUY9.1%$13
Oct 24, 06:38 PM ETNoBUY9.0%$11
Oct 24, 06:38 PM ETNoBUY9.0%$7
Oct 24, 06:38 PM ETNoBUY9.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:16 PM ETYesBUY91.0%$19
Oct 24, 04:53 PM ETNoBUY10.9%$150
Oct 24, 04:14 PM ETNoBUY91.5%$119
Oct 24, 04:14 PM ETNoSELL8.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:13 PM ETNoSELL92.0%$11

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next Premier of British Columbia?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lorne Doerkson at 90.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-premier-of-british-columbia?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next Premier of British Columbia?

$236.1K in total volume, with $8.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.

When does Next Premier of British Columbia end?

The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next Premier of British Columbia, according to Polymarket traders?

Lorne Doerkson, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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