As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Person A at 50.0% in Next Premier of New South Wales — $8.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Person A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Person A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chris Minns | 38¢ | 38.0% | -4.0 pts | $2.8K | 35.6% |
| Mark Speakman | 18¢ | 17.6% | +7.5 pts | $1.1K | 13.3% |
| Kellie Sloane | 14¢ | 14.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.0K | 24.5% |
| Gurmesh Singh | 7¢ | 7.4% | +1.3 pts | $328 | 4.1% |
| Rose Jackson | 7¢ | 7.3% | -9.2 pts | $641 | 8.0% |
| Mike Newman | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.3 pts | $206 | 2.6% |
| Ryan Park | 3¢ | 3.0% | -1.2 pts | $223 | 2.8% |
| Prue Car | 2¢ | 2.5% | -1.1 pts | $184 | 2.3% |
| Daniel Mookhey | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.5 pts | $202 | 2.5% |
| Penny Sharpe | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $177 | 2.2% |
| Alister Henskens | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $161 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.0K has been traded on this event in total, $455 of it in the last 24 hours, across 38 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of New South Wales as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New South Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.nsw.gov.au/nsw-government/premier-of-nsw
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 211 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 211 | $106 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 35 | $18 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 34 | $17 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 25 | $13 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation | Yes | 23 | $12 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 23 | $11 |
| Advanced-Mailer | Yes | 16 | $8 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Decimal-Phosphate-Marriage | Yes | 5 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.7% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 11:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 09:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Person A at 50.0%. Next is Person B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-premier-of-new-south-wales?via=bro
$8.0K in total volume, with $455 traded in the last 24 hours across 38 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nsw.gov.au/nsw-government/premier-of-nsw.
Person A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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