As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jess Wilson at 82.5% in Next Premier of Victoria — $29.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jess Wilson, is priced at 82.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +17.0 pts.
Since August 27, 2026, Jess Wilson has traded between 54.5% and 82.5%. It opened at 63.5% and last traded at 82.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.5% |
Jess Wilson is favored at 82.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Wilson | 82¢ | 82.5% | +2.5 pts | $7.1K | 23.9% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ben Carroll | 12¢ | 11.6% | +1.6 pts | $6.1K | 20.4% |
| David Southwick | 4¢ | 3.7% | -0.6 pts | $466 | 1.6% |
| Warren Pickering | 4¢ | 3.7% | -3.5 pts | $2.3K | 7.7% |
| Danny O'Brien | 2¢ | 1.6% | -4.6 pts | $2.9K | 9.8% |
| Sonya Kilkenny | 1¢ | 1.5% | -0.4 pts | $537 | 1.8% |
| Ellen Sandell | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $2.3K | 7.8% |
| Gabrielle Williams | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.1 pts | $391 | 1.3% |
| Jacinta Allan | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $666 | 2.2% |
| Sam Groth | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.3K | 4.5% |
| Emma Kealy | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.4K | 4.6% |
| Steve Dimopoulos | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $424 | 1.4% |
| James Newbury | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.4K | 4.7% |
| Jaclyn Symes | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 4.1% |
| Brad Battin | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 4.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.8K has been traded on this event in total, $223 of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.vic.gov.au/premier
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,473 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,473 | $258 |
| Cuddly-Folder | Yes | 928 | $766 |
| Familiar-Stallion | Yes | 611 | $504 |
| Long-Term-Slime-Capon | Yes | 434 | $358 |
| Overlooked-Wrapping | No | 412 | $72 |
| Moist-Equation | Yes | 272 | $224 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 243 | $42 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 106 | $18 |
| Yummy-Winter | Yes | 100 | $82 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 68 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 08:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.1% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 08:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $38 |
| Oct 23, 05:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 02:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $67 |
| Oct 23, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.9% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.9% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jess Wilson at 82.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-premier-of-victoria?via=bro
$29.8K in total volume, with $223 traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.vic.gov.au/premier.
Jess Wilson, priced at 82.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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