As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jordan Bardella at 99.6% in Next President of the National Rally in 2026? — $50.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jordan Bardella, is priced at 99.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.3 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.
Since July 08, 2026, Jordan Bardella has traded between 45.5% and 100.0%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 100.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 99.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 100.0% |
Jordan Bardella is favored at 99.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bardella | 100¢ | 99.6% | +0.1 pts | $36.0K | 71.1% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 7 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 8 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 9 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 10 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 11 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 12 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 13 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 14 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 15 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 16 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 17 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 18 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 19 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 20 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 21 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 22 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 23 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 24 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 25 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 26 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $2.8K | 5.5% |
| Marine Le Pen | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $2.7K | 5.3% |
| Louis Aliot | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $1.9K | 3.8% |
| Sébastien Chenu | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K | 3.3% |
| David Rachline | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $2.1K | 4.1% |
| Hélène Laporte | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $1.8K | 3.6% |
| Laurent Jacobelli | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$50.6K has been traded on this event in total, $7.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 35 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,152 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tense-Precedent | Yes | 6,152 | $6.1K |
| Wealthy-Meadow | No | 3,663 | $16 |
| Devoted-Working | Yes | 2,842 | $2.8K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,848 | $8 |
| Shabby-Personnel-Lift | No | 1,439 | $6 |
| Hearty-Coast | Yes | 1,149 | $1.1K |
| Funny-Knock-Bank | No | 1,055 | $5 |
| Buoyant-Sip-Chow | No | 974 | $4 |
| Composed-Oasis | Yes | 602 | $599 |
| Earnest-Rawhide | No | 335 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $1.1K |
| Oct 24, 06:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $2.8K |
| Oct 24, 06:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.7% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.6% | $57 |
| Oct 24, 11:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 0.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.9% | $3.8K |
| Oct 24, 10:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 0.1% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jordan Bardella at 99.6%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-president-of-the-national-rally-in-2026-20260708193244734?via=bro
$50.6K in total volume, with $7.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 35 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Jordan Bardella, priced at 99.6% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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