As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Andris Kulbergs at 95.7% in Next Prime Minister of Latvia? — $13.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Andris Kulbergs, is priced at 95.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -2.1 pts; past month: +4.2 pts.
Since September 11, 2026, Andris Kulbergs has traded between 46.5% and 99.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 98.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
Andris Kulbergs is favored at 95.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andris Kulbergs | 96¢ | 95.7% | -2.5 pts | $8.6K | 64.9% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Viktors Valainis | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.3 pts | $562 | 4.2% |
| Jūlija Stepaņenko | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $839 | 6.3% |
| Andris Šuvajevs | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $620 | 4.7% |
| Ainārs Šlesers | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.1K | 7.9% |
| Arvils Ašeradens | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $532 | 4.0% |
| Svetlana Čulkova | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $607 | 4.6% |
| Ilze Indriksone | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $445 | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.3K has been traded on this event in total, $229 of it in the last 24 hours, across 35 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 03, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 1,000 | $43 |
| Inferior-Plough-Acrylic | Yes | 802 | $768 |
| Frail-Bloom | Yes | 723 | $692 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 692 | $30 |
| Tragic-Scorpion | Yes | 546 | $522 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 446 | $19 |
| Circular-Keystone | Yes | 391 | $374 |
| Straight-Apprehension | Yes | 286 | $274 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 240 | $10 |
| Evil-Row | No | 231 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 3.3% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 01:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $77 |
| Oct 20, 07:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 96.7% | $21 |
| Oct 19, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.5% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 01:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 4.4% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 12:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.9% | $29 |
| Oct 19, 03:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.1% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 02:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.1% | $11 |
| Oct 18, 02:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.7% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 02:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Andris Kulbergs at 95.7%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-latvia?via=bro
$13.3K in total volume, with $229 traded in the last 24 hours across 35 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 03, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Andris Kulbergs, priced at 95.7% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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