PolymarketBro
Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 82.0% in Next Prime Minister of Spain? — $2.10M traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $11.3K.
Leading outcome
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
82%
A 82.0% price implies roughly a 82-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.0 pts7D +0.5 pts30D +3.5 pts
Alberto Núñez Feijóo82.0%
Person D50.0%
Bid
81¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 26, 2026: 43.0% – 83.0% · Opened at 43.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Category
Spain, Politics, Elections, parliament, Main Election, Pedro Sanchez, Global Elections, Spain Elections, World Elections
Scheduled end
November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.10M
Volume (24h)
$11.3K
Liquidity
$1.42M
Markets
58
Leading outcome
Alberto Núñez Feijóo — 82.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, is priced at 82.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.

Since June 26, 2026, Alberto Núñez Feijóo has traded between 43.0% and 83.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 82.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202681.5%
Oct 18, 202681.5%
Oct 19, 202680.5%
Oct 20, 202682.5%
Oct 22, 202682.0%
Oct 23, 202681.0%
Oct 24, 202682.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Alberto Núñez Feijóo is favored at 82.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Alberto Núñez Feijóo82¢82.0%+1.0 pts$431.2K20.6%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AA50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AB50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AC50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AD50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AE50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AF50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AG50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AH50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AI50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AJ50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AK50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AL50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AM50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AN50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AO50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AP50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AQ50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person AR50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Pedro Sánchez16¢15.8%-0.5 pts$499.6K23.8%
Santiago Abascal2¢2.1%+0.1 pts$286.4K13.7%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso0¢0.3%—$250.8K12.0%
Carlos Cuerpo0¢0.2%—$203.1K9.7%
Yolanda Díaz0¢0.1%—$174.3K8.3%
María Jesús Montero0¢0.1%—$35.0K1.7%
Ernest Urtasun0¢0.1%—$16.3K0.8%
Aitor Esteban0¢0.1%—$14.8K0.7%
Miguel Tellado0¢0.1%—$24.0K1.1%
Ester Muñoz0¢0.1%—$17.4K0.8%
Pepa Millán0¢0.1%—$16.3K0.8%
Cuca Gamarra0¢0.1%—$16.9K0.8%
Borja Sémper0¢0.1%—$16.3K0.8%
Carles Puigdemont0¢0.1%—$19.9K0.9%
Óscar Puente0¢0.1%—$75.5K3.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.10M has been traded on this event in total, $11.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 58 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 147,250 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No147,250$26.5K
Remorseful-PepperoniYes101,824$83.5K
Awkward-SensitivityYes23,868$19.6K
Feline-Handful-AfterthoughtNo19,298$3.5K
Smooth-EvolutionYes15,329$12.6K
Showy-AuditYes9,683$7.9K
Shameful-CinnamonYes7,795$6.4K
Angelic-Enemy-WeederYes7,590$6.2K
Zealous-Ecumenist-WasabiNo5,000$900
Sick-RegulatorYes4,858$4.0K

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $2.2K at 98.0%SELL Yes — $1.6K at 81.0%BUY Yes — $1.2K at 82.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:54 PM ETYesBUY2.2%$2
Oct 24, 06:54 PM ETNoBUY19.0%$95
Oct 24, 06:54 PM ETNoBUY19.0%$11
Oct 24, 06:54 PM ETYesBUY2.2%$2
Oct 24, 04:02 PM ETNoSELL17.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:44 PM ETYesBUY16.3%$1
Oct 24, 03:43 PM ETNoBUY19.0%$9
Oct 24, 02:45 PM ETYesBUY15.6%$5
Oct 24, 01:46 PM ETYesSELL14.8%$151
Oct 24, 12:28 PM ETYesSELL15.2%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Spain??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alberto Núñez Feijóo at 82.0%. Next is Person D at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-spain-20260625005215443?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next Prime Minister of Spain??

$2.10M in total volume, with $11.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 58 markets.

When does Next Prime Minister of Spain? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next Prime Minister of Spain?, according to Polymarket traders?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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