As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Magdalena Andersson at 75.5% in Next Prime Minister of Sweden — $10.40M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Magdalena Andersson, is priced at 75.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: -11.0 pts.
Since January 19, 2026, Magdalena Andersson has traded between 55.5% and 93.5%. It opened at 76.0% and last traded at 76.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.5% |
Magdalena Andersson is favored at 75.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 76¢ | 75.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.72M | 26.1% |
| Ulf Kristersson | 19¢ | 19.3% | +0.9 pts | $2.04M | 19.6% |
| Ebba Busch | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.8 pts | $933.9K | 9.0% |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.1 pts | $572.4K | 5.5% |
| Jimmie Åkesson | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.94M | 18.6% |
| Anna-Karin Hatt | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $312.4K | 3.0% |
| Nooshi Dadgostar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.04M | 10.0% |
| Simona Mohamsson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $372.4K | 3.6% |
| Amanda Lind | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $135.7K | 1.3% |
| Daniel Helldén | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $339.1K | 3.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.40M has been traded on this event in total, $10.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 363,884 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 363,884 | $89.2K |
| Flaky-War | No | 55,464 | $13.6K |
| Weighty-Pleat | Yes | 54,706 | $41.3K |
| Hateful-Volunteer | Yes | 37,958 | $28.7K |
| Grounded-Dream-Amenity | Yes | 37,731 | $28.5K |
| Faraway-Ellipse | No | 33,575 | $8.2K |
| Wobbly-Pants | Yes | 32,331 | $24.4K |
| Silly-Bladder | Yes | 31,468 | $23.8K |
| Trusting-Bungalow | Yes | 28,742 | $21.7K |
| Uneven-Substitution | No | 27,542 | $6.7K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.0% | $68 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $128 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $75 |
| Oct 24, 03:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.6% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $72 |
| Oct 24, 01:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.6% | $180 |
| Oct 24, 01:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $289 |
| Oct 24, 01:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Magdalena Andersson at 75.5%. Next is Ulf Kristersson at 19.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-sweden?via=bro
$10.40M in total volume, with $10.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Magdalena Andersson, priced at 75.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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