As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mark Brown at 97.3% in Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands — $59.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Mark Brown, is priced at 97.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: +0.8 pts.
Since July 16, 2026, Mark Brown has traded between 55.0% and 98.7%. It opened at 55.0% and last traded at 97.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.5% |
Mark Brown is favored at 97.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brown | 97¢ | 97.3% | -0.1 pts | $47.6K | 79.9% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tina Browne | 2¢ | 1.9% | -0.1 pts | $6.6K | 11.1% |
| Teariki Heather | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $5.3K | 9.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59.6K has been traded on this event in total, $13 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,627 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 7,627 | $7.4K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 5,892 | $159 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 3,148 | $85 |
| Wobbly-Tooth | Yes | 1,983 | $1.9K |
| 0x3872c635… | No | 1,478 | $40 |
| Infamous-Daughter | Yes | 1,369 | $1.3K |
| Ragged-Shark | Yes | 1,000 | $973 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor | No | 973 | $26 |
| 0x815a2935… | No | 969 | $26 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 918 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 96.8% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.9% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 04:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 04:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 04:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $21 |
| Oct 22, 04:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $21 |
| Oct 21, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mark Brown at 97.3%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-the-cook-islands-20260715193547852?via=bro
$59.6K in total volume, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end August 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Mark Brown, priced at 97.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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