Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Åsa Johansson at 84.0% in Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland? — $38.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Åsa Johansson
84%
A 84.0% price implies roughly a 84-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D −2.7 pts30D −12.8 pts
Åsa Johansson84.0%
Candidate F50.0%
Bid
73¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
22¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 11, 2026: 15.5% – 97.2% · Opened at 49.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?
Category
Sweden, Politics, Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props, Sweden Regional Elections, Sweden Elections
Scheduled end
September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$38.9K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$65.3K
Markets
31
Leading outcome
Åsa Johansson — 84.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Åsa Johansson, is priced at 84.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -2.7 pts; past month: -12.8 pts.

Since August 11, 2026, Åsa Johansson has traded between 15.5% and 97.2%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 84.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202683.9%
Oct 18, 202686.9%
Oct 19, 202683.8%
Oct 20, 202684.2%
Oct 23, 202684.1%
Oct 24, 202684.0%
Oct 24, 202684.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Åsa Johansson is favored at 84.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Åsa Johansson84¢84.0%-0.1 pts$27.1K69.5%
Candidate F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Sara Gunnarsson13¢12.8%-0.1 pts$5.6K14.4%
Tobias Eriksson10¢10.3%+8.4 pts$1.0K2.7%
Mikael Strandman3¢2.5%—$1.1K2.9%
Elisabeth Björk2¢2.2%-0.2 pts$1.1K2.7%
Erik Evestam0¢0.4%—$5421.4%
Fredrik Larsson0¢0.1%—$9472.4%
Marianne Utterdahl0¢0.1%—$5981.5%
Sara Hallin0¢0.1%—$9632.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$38.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Värmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,737 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityYes3,737$3.1K
Another-Thermostat-AlloyNo2,500$400
0xa5ef39c3…No1,008$161
Exotic-PrizeYes859$722
Straight-WrinkleNo764$122
Stale-ArmoireNo342$55
Snappy-RoosterNo298$48
Ordinary-DressNo267$43
Known-UseYes200$168
Crushing-SpreeYes172$144

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.0K at 97.8%SELL Yes — $500 at 91.7%SELL No — $162 at 98.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 19, 04:11 PM ETYesBUY1.3%$0
Oct 12, 01:56 AM ETYesSELL84.6%$5
Oct 11, 09:36 AM ETYesSELL92.8%$10
Oct 08, 03:49 PM ETNoBUY6.9%$1
Oct 08, 03:49 PM ETNoBUY6.9%$1
Oct 08, 03:49 PM ETNoBUY97.3%$18
Oct 08, 03:49 PM ETNoBUY97.3%$20
Oct 08, 03:49 PM ETNoBUY99.3%$20
Oct 08, 03:49 PM ETNoBUY99.3%$18
Oct 05, 02:57 PM ETNoSELL14.0%$6

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Åsa Johansson at 84.0%. Next is Candidate F at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-regional-board-chair-of-varmland-20260810084516812?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland??

$38.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.

When does Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland? end?

The market is scheduled to end September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?, according to Polymarket traders?

Åsa Johansson, priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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