As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lana Nusseibeh at 48.0% in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations — $240.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Lana Nusseibeh, is priced at 48.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.5 pts.
Lana Nusseibeh is favored at 48.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lana Nusseibeh | 48¢ | 48.0% | +10.5 pts | $1.0K | 0.4% |
| Rafael Grossi | 16¢ | 15.8% | +1.2 pts | $36.6K | 15.2% |
| Rebeca Grynspan | 15¢ | 15.0% | +5.5 pts | $36.8K | 15.3% |
| Olara Otunnu | 10¢ | 9.9% | -5.4 pts | $3.4K | 1.4% |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 6¢ | 6.1% | -3.0 pts | $11.8K | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 5¢ | 5.4% | -0.2 pts | $6.4K | 2.7% |
| Michelle Bachelet | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $12.4K | 5.2% |
| Macky Sall | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.2 pts | $128.9K | 53.7% |
| Ivonne de Baki | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.8K | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$240.0K has been traded on this event in total, $731 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,189 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,189 | $2.7K |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 650 | $312 |
| Ornery-Hello | Yes | 479 | $230 |
| Immediate-Machine | Yes | 420 | $202 |
| Miniature-Drive | Yes | 411 | $197 |
| Broken-Idea | Yes | 356 | $171 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 354 | $170 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 298 | $143 |
| Muted-Primary | Yes | 261 | $125 |
| Aromatic-Carter | Yes | 228 | $109 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 11:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 07:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.9% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 07:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 06:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lana Nusseibeh at 48.0%. Next is Rafael Grossi at 15.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-secretary-general-of-the-united-nations?via=bro
$240.0K in total volume, with $731 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Lana Nusseibeh, priced at 48.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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