As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Chuck Schumer at 57.0% in Next Senate Majority Leader? — $174.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Chuck Schumer, is priced at 57.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +17.5 pts.
Since March 23, 2026, Chuck Schumer has traded between 17.5% and 57.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 57.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 57.5% |
Chuck Schumer is favored at 57.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 57¢ | 57.0% | -0.5 pts | $18.2K | 10.4% |
| John Thune | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $34.4K | 19.7% |
| Brian Schatz | 7¢ | 7.4% | — | $5.1K | 2.9% |
| Chris Van Hollen | 5¢ | 4.5% | -0.4 pts | $1.6K | 0.9% |
| Tom Cotton | 4¢ | 3.7% | -0.1 pts | $8.3K | 4.7% |
| John Barrasso | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.1 pts | $5.0K | 2.9% |
| Cory Booker | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $5.3K | 3.1% |
| Steve Daines | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $25.1K | 14.4% |
| Patty Murray | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $5.9K | 3.4% |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.1K | 2.9% |
| Mark Kelly | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.4K | 3.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$174.7K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 63 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,359 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,359 | $1.4K |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 1,072 | $611 |
| Functional-Heartthrob | Yes | 608 | $347 |
| Euphoric-Ivory | No | 500 | $215 |
| Courteous-Cloak | Yes | 444 | $253 |
| Dearest-Agenda | Yes | 437 | $249 |
| Well-Documented-Category-Tissue | Yes | 393 | $224 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 360 | $205 |
| Authorized-Utilization | Yes | 357 | $203 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 345 | $148 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:42 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 43.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.2% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $43 |
| Oct 23, 03:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 46.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Chuck Schumer at 57.0%. Next is John Thune at 23.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-senate-majority-leader-485?via=bro
$174.7K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 63 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Chuck Schumer, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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