As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Spread -21.5: Chiefs at 95.5% in Chiefs vs. Seahawks — $858.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Spread -21.5: Chiefs, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.1 pts; past week: -16.6 pts; past month: -17.5 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, Spread -21.5: Chiefs has traded between 76.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 77.0% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.5% |
Spread -21.5: Chiefs is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -21.5: Chiefs | 96¢ | 95.5% | +1.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Seahawks | 96¢ | 95.5% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -21.5: Seahawks | 95¢ | 95.2% | +11.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -20.5: Chiefs | 95¢ | 95.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 95¢ | 95.0% | +38.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 95¢ | 95.0% | +44.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -19.5: Seahawks | 95¢ | 94.9% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5: Chiefs | 94¢ | 94.5% | +43.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5: Chiefs | 94¢ | 94.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.1% |
| O/U 64.5: Under | 94¢ | 94.5% | +2.0 pts | $20.3K | 2.4% |
| Spread -17.5: Seahawks | 94¢ | 94.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 62.5: Under | 94¢ | 94.0% | +2.2 pts | $39.7K | 4.6% |
| 1H Spread -20.5: Chiefs | 94¢ | 94.0% | +43.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -14.5: Chiefs | 94¢ | 94.0% | +43.0 pts | $500 | 0.1% |
| Spread -19.5: Chiefs | 94¢ | 93.5% | — | $69 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5: Chiefs | 93¢ | 93.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -16.5: Chiefs | 93¢ | 93.0% | +42.0 pts | $720 | 0.1% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 93¢ | 93.0% | +43.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 24.5: Over | 93¢ | 93.0% | -0.5 pts | $29.0K | 3.4% |
| Spread -16.5: Seahawks | 92¢ | 92.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5: Chiefs | 92¢ | 92.5% | +41.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chiefs 1H O/U 20.5: Under | 92¢ | 92.5% | +36.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 26.5: Over | 92¢ | 92.2% | -0.5 pts | $2.2K | 0.3% |
| Spread -17.5: Chiefs | 92¢ | 91.5% | +1.5 pts | $10 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5: Chiefs | 92¢ | 91.5% | +40.5 pts | $2.2K | 0.3% |
| Spread -14.5: Seahawks | 91¢ | 91.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 91¢ | 91.0% | +41.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 60.5: Under | 91¢ | 91.0% | — | $37.8K | 4.4% |
| Chiefs 1H O/U 19.5: Under | 91¢ | 91.0% | +38.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5: Chiefs | 90¢ | 90.5% | +39.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.5% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5: Over | 90¢ | 90.5% | +37.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seahawks O/U 10.5: Over | 90¢ | 90.5% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seahawks O/U 12.5: Over | 90¢ | 90.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 20.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.0% | +27.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 58.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.0% | +0.9 pts | $34.2K | 4.0% |
| Spread -16.5: Chiefs | 90¢ | 89.5% | +0.5 pts | $3.1K | 0.4% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5: Chiefs | 90¢ | 89.5% | +39.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Seahawks | 89¢ | 89.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5: Chiefs | 88¢ | 88.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chiefs O/U 30.5: Under | 88¢ | 88.5% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5: Seahawks | 88¢ | 88.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 28.5: Over | 88¢ | 88.0% | -3.0 pts | $34.6K | 4.0% |
| Spread -14.5: Chiefs | 88¢ | 87.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.5K | 0.2% |
| 2H Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 88¢ | 87.5% | +30.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.1% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5: Seahawks | 88¢ | 87.5% | +19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5: Under | 88¢ | 87.5% | +13.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5: Seahawks | 87¢ | 87.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5: Over | 87¢ | 87.0% | +16.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 19.5: Under | 87¢ | 87.0% | +16.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5: Seahawks | 86¢ | 86.5% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5: Seahawks | 86¢ | 86.5% | -5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5: Chiefs | 86¢ | 86.5% | +12.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Seahawks | 86¢ | 86.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 56.5: Under | 86¢ | 85.9% | +1.4 pts | $6.2K | 0.7% |
| Chiefs O/U 10.5: Over | 84¢ | 84.5% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -9.5: Seahawks | 84¢ | 84.0% | +0.5 pts | $77 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5: Seahawks | 84¢ | 84.0% | -5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 84¢ | 84.0% | -6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5: Chiefs | 84¢ | 84.0% | -5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seahawks O/U 13.5: Over | 84¢ | 83.5% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 30.5: Over | 83¢ | 83.2% | -0.9 pts | $5.4K | 0.6% |
| Spread -8.5: Seahawks | 83¢ | 83.0% | +0.5 pts | $5 | 0.0% |
| Spread -13.5: Chiefs | 83¢ | 83.0% | -0.5 pts | $209 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5: Chiefs | 83¢ | 83.0% | +29.0 pts | $624 | 0.1% |
| O/U 54.5: Under | 83¢ | 82.8% | +0.3 pts | $31.4K | 3.7% |
| Chiefs O/U 12.5: Over | 82¢ | 82.5% | -5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5: Under | 82¢ | 82.5% | -6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5: Chiefs | 82¢ | 82.0% | -5.0 pts | $1.1K | 0.1% |
| 2H O/U 28.5: Under | 82¢ | 81.5% | +32.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5: Over | 82¢ | 81.5% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chiefs O/U 27.5: Under | 82¢ | 81.5% | -6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chiefs 1H O/U 16.5: Under | 82¢ | 81.5% | +28.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -7.5: Seahawks | 81¢ | 81.0% | +0.5 pts | $56 | 0.0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5: Under | 80¢ | 79.5% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Spread -10.5: Chiefs | 79¢ | 79.0% | — | $1.5K | 0.2% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5: Chiefs | 79¢ | 79.0% | +12.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5: Under | 79¢ | 79.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5: Over | 79¢ | 79.0% | +5.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5: Seahawks | 78¢ | 78.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 517 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$858.1K has been traded on this event in total, $57.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 306 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:20 PM ET.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Seahawks, scheduled for October 25 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 22 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chiefs". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:20 PM ET | Seahawks | BUY | 59.0% | $500 |
| Oct 24, 07:00 PM ET | Chiefs | BUY | 42.0% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 06:48 PM ET | Under | BUY | 50.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:41 PM ET | Seahawks | BUY | 59.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:21 PM ET | Seahawks | BUY | 59.0% | $177 |
| Oct 24, 05:52 PM ET | Seahawks | BUY | 59.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 PM ET | Chiefs | SELL | 41.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:17 PM ET | Chiefs | BUY | 42.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | Chiefs | BUY | 42.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:11 PM ET | Chiefs | BUY | 42.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Spread -21.5: Chiefs at 95.5%. Next is Spread -20.5: Seahawks at 95.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-sea-2026-10-26?via=bro
$858.1K in total volume, with $57.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 306 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:20 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nfl.com/scores.
Spread -21.5: Chiefs, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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