As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under at 96.5% in Dolphins vs. Jets - Player Props — $487 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under, is priced at 96.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -46.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under has traded between 50.0% and 58.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 58.0%.
Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under is favored at 96.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under | 96¢ | 96.5% | +46.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5: Under | 96¢ | 96.0% | +46.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under | 96¢ | 96.0% | +46.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 324.5: Under | 94¢ | 94.0% | +44.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 249.5: Under | 90¢ | 90.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receptions O/U 4.5: Under | 90¢ | 89.5% | +39.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 88¢ | 87.5% | +37.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5: Under | 87¢ | 87.0% | +37.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 274.5: Under | 86¢ | 86.5% | +36.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 5.5: Under | 85¢ | 85.0% | +35.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5: Under | 84¢ | 84.5% | +34.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 83¢ | 83.0% | +33.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5: Under | 81¢ | 81.0% | +31.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 249.5: Under | 80¢ | 80.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5: Under | 80¢ | 79.5% | +29.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jaylen Wright: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 79¢ | 79.0% | +3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.5% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.5% | +28.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.0% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 78¢ | 78.0% | +28.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 78¢ | 77.5% | +27.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5: Under | 76¢ | 76.5% | +26.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 76¢ | 76.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5: Under | 76¢ | 75.5% | +25.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 74¢ | 74.5% | -10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5: Under | 74¢ | 74.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 74¢ | 74.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 74¢ | 74.0% | +0.5 pts | $3 | 0.5% |
| Mason Taylor: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 74¢ | 73.5% | +23.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5: Under | 74¢ | 73.5% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 6.5: Under | 72¢ | 72.0% | +22.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5: Under | 72¢ | 71.5% | +5.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 71¢ | 71.0% | +21.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5: Under | 70¢ | 70.0% | +20.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 70¢ | 69.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 7.5: Under | 68¢ | 68.0% | +18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 1.5: Under | 68¢ | 68.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5: Under | 68¢ | 67.5% | +17.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5: Under | 67¢ | 67.0% | +17.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 1.5: Under | 66¢ | 66.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 66¢ | 66.0% | +16.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jaylen Wright: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 65¢ | 65.0% | +15.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5: Under | 65¢ | 65.0% | +15.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 4.5: Under | 64¢ | 64.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 64¢ | 64.5% | +14.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 199.5: Under | 64¢ | 64.0% | +14.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5: Under | 64¢ | 64.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 64¢ | 63.5% | +13.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5: Under | 63¢ | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 63¢ | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 62¢ | 62.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 1.5: Under | 62¢ | 62.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5: Under | 62¢ | 62.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5: Under | 62¢ | 62.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 62¢ | 61.5% | +11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receptions O/U 1.5: Under | 62¢ | 61.5% | +11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 224.5: Under | 61¢ | 61.0% | +11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 4.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.5% | -19.0 pts | $5 | 1.0% |
| Omar Cooper Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.5% | +10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 274.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.0% | +10.0 pts | $63 | 13.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.0% | +10.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 60¢ | 60.0% | +10.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 60¢ | 59.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 2.5: Under | 60¢ | 59.5% | -19.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5: Over | 58¢ | 58.5% | +25.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5: Under | 58¢ | 58.5% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5: Under | 58¢ | 58.5% | +8.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 58¢ | 58.0% | +8.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | -15.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 124.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | -18.0 pts | $6 | 1.2% |
| Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.0% | +7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ollie Gordon II: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.5% | +6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.5% | +7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Caleb Douglas: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.5% | +6.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.0% | +6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 3.5: Under | 56¢ | 56.0% | +6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
Plus 324 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$487 has been traded on this event in total, $43 of it in the last 24 hours, across 232 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 01:00 PM ET.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Dolphins and Jets, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Geno Smith records more than 3.5 passing touchdowns in this game, and to "Under" if Geno Smith records 3.5 or fewer passing touchdowns. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 03:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 05:12 PM ET | Over | BUY | 56.7% | $75 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under at 96.5%. Next is Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5: Under at 96.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-mia-nyj-2026-10-25-player-props?via=bro
$487 in total volume, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours across 232 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 01:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nfl.com/scores.
Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5: Under, priced at 96.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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