Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Down at 74.0% in Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31? — $247 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Down
74%
A 74.0% price implies roughly a 74-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
30D +0.1 pts
Down74.0%
Up26.0%
Bid
2¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
48¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since March 30, 2026: 49.0% – 99.5% · Opened at 50.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?
Category
Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Hide From New, Finance Updown, natural gas, Recurring
Scheduled end
March 31, 2026, 05:00 PM ET
Total volume
$247
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$75
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Down — 74.0%
Resolution source
https://pythdata.app/explore

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Down, is priced at 74.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.1 pts.

Since March 30, 2026, Down has traded between 49.0% and 99.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 74.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202674.0%
Oct 17, 202674.0%
Oct 18, 202674.0%
Oct 19, 202674.0%
Oct 20, 202674.0%
Oct 22, 202674.0%
Oct 23, 202674.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Down is favored at 74.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Down74¢74.0%—$247100.0%
Up26¢26.0%—$247100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 48¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$247 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on March 31, 2026 is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on March 31, 2026 is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 5:00:00 PM ET on that date. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 56 shares of Down.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Profitable-CopywriterDown56$41
That-TranceUp20$5
Cool-StoryboardUp20$5
Left-CobwebDown10$7
Grandiose-LayerUp5$1
Sad-FellowUp5$1
Weepy-ItemUp5$1
Rotten-VentiUp5$1
Past-AppUp5$1
Voluminous-LavaUp5$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Down — $66 at 99.7%BUY Down — $45 at 99.0%SELL Down — $5 at 50.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Aug 21, 11:13 AM ETDownSELL50.0%$5
Aug 21, 10:27 AM ETDownBUY99.7%$66
Apr 20, 01:53 PM ETUpSELL1.0%$0
Apr 14, 04:32 PM ETUpBUY4.6%$1
Apr 03, 02:06 AM ETUpSELL0.1%$0
Apr 02, 01:45 PM ETUpSELL0.1%$0
Apr 01, 11:16 AM ETUpBUY2.0%$0
Apr 01, 10:25 AM ETDownBUY99.9%$1
Apr 01, 10:25 AM ETDownBUY99.9%$1
Apr 01, 10:24 AM ETDownBUY99.0%$45

Related markets

More Finance

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Down at 74.0%. Next is Up at 26.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ng-up-or-down-on-march-31-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31??

$247 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore.

What is the most likely outcome of Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

Down, priced at 74.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.