As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 54.5% in Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026? — $38.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 54.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +7.5 pts.
Since February 09, 2026, No has traded between 18.5% and 86.5%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 55.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 57.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.0% |
No is favored at 54.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 55¢ | 54.5% | +1.0 pts | $38.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 46¢ | 45.5% | -1.0 pts | $38.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 69¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ángela Aguilar and/or Christian Nodal announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Ángela Aguilar, Christian Nodal, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 74 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bewitched-Merchant | No | 74 | $40 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 49 | $22 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | Yes | 19 | $8 |
| Sharp-Landform | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Gloomy-Frigate | Yes | 3 | $1 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Disastrous-Contract | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Imperturbable-Mode | No | 1 | $1 |
| Astonishing-Armpit | No | 1 | $1 |
| Pretty-Seaside | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Aug 05, 05:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $2 |
| Jul 13, 04:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 51.0% | $1 |
| Jul 11, 09:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $1 |
| Jul 04, 06:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $11 |
| Jul 02, 02:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $5 |
| Jun 26, 11:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $35 |
| Jun 18, 12:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $4 |
| Jun 13, 02:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $1 |
| May 26, 11:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 54.5%. Next is Yes at 45.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ngela-aguilar-christian-nodal-split-in-2026?via=bro
$38.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 54.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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