As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Tampa Bay Lightning at 35.0% in NHL: 2026-27 Atlantic Division Winner — $1.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Tampa Bay Lightning, is priced at 35.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning has traded between 31.5% and 39.5%. It opened at 31.5% and last traded at 38.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 38.0% |
Tampa Bay Lightning is favored at 35.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 35¢ | 35.0% | -4.5 pts | $559 | 46.6% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 34¢ | 34.2% | +28.8 pts | $36 | 3.0% |
| Florida Panthers | 22¢ | 22.0% | +3.5 pts | $31 | 2.6% |
| Boston Bruins | 11¢ | 11.0% | +1.5 pts | $210 | 17.5% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $52 | 4.3% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 10¢ | 10.1% | +1.6 pts | $10 | 0.8% |
| Ottawa Senators | 8¢ | 8.0% | -4.0 pts | $62 | 5.2% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $230 | 19.2% |
| Other | 3¢ | 3.1% | -10.2 pts | $10 | 0.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 38¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.2K has been traded on this event in total, $548 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Atlantic Division in the 2026-27 NHL regular season, as determined by the final official NHL standings, including any official NHL tiebreakers. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Atlantic Division (e.g. mathematical elimination before the end of the regular season), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NHL regular season is cancelled, or has not been completed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 101 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluid-Typeface-Toad | No | 101 | $66 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 58 | $20 |
| Detailed-Parachute | Yes | 40 | $14 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 20 | $7 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 20 | $13 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 12 | $4 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.9% | $109 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.3% | $142 |
| Oct 24, 01:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 11:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 58.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Tampa Bay Lightning at 35.0%. Next is Toronto Maple Leafs at 34.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-2026-27-atlantic-division-winner?via=bro
$1.2K in total volume, with $548 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Tampa Bay Lightning, priced at 35.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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