As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Connor McDavid at 54.0% in NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner — $42.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Connor McDavid, is priced at 54.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +22.1 pts.
Since September 27, 2026, Connor McDavid has traded between 13.8% and 54.0%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 54.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 43.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 48.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 54.0% |
Connor McDavid is favored at 54.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 54¢ | 54.0% | +1.0 pts | $16.3K | 38.3% |
| Player A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Player B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Player C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Player D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Player E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Macklin Celebrini | 12¢ | 12.0% | -2.5 pts | $2.2K | 5.2% |
| Dylan Strome | 8¢ | 8.2% | -0.8 pts | $202 | 0.5% |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 5¢ | 5.5% | — | $314 | 0.7% |
| Jack Eichel | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $233 | 0.5% |
| Auston Matthews | 5¢ | 4.7% | — | $620 | 1.5% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 4¢ | 4.3% | — | $4.9K | 11.6% |
| Connor Bedard | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.1 pts | $259 | 0.6% |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Stuart Skinner | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $145 | 0.3% |
| Zach Werenski | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $194 | 0.5% |
| J.T. Miller | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $165 | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Marner | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Dustin Wolf | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Roman Josi | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Logan Stankoven | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Lucas Raymond | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Nazem Kadri | 3¢ | 2.7% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Adrian Kempe | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Jacob Markstrom | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Quinton Byfield | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $202 | 0.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $227 | 0.5% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 2¢ | 2.2% | — | $186 | 0.4% |
| Cale Makar | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $398 | 0.9% |
| Logan Thompson | 2¢ | 2.0% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Jack Hughes | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $188 | 0.4% |
| Evan Bouchard | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $153 | 0.4% |
| Linus Ullmark | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $186 | 0.4% |
| Alexander Ovechkin | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $184 | 0.4% |
| Filip Gustavsson | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Matt Boldy | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $166 | 0.4% |
| Jake Guentzel | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Owen Tippett | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| David Pastrnak | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $411 | 1.0% |
| Elias Pettersson | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Sidney Crosby | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $148 | 0.3% |
| Filip Forsberg | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $135 | 0.3% |
| Ivan Demidov | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Jake Oettinger | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Adam Fox | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $149 | 0.3% |
| Aleksander Barkov | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $181 | 0.4% |
| Alexander Nikishin | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $181 | 0.4% |
| Brad Marchand | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Connor Hellebuyck | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $205 | 0.5% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $181 | 0.4% |
| Brock Faber | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Claude Giroux | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Igor Shesterkin | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $135 | 0.3% |
| Miro Heiskanen | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $181 | 0.4% |
| Elias Lindholm | 1¢ | 1.3% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Artemi Panarin | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Darcy Kuemper | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Dylan Larkin | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Erik Karlsson | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $135 | 0.3% |
| John-Jason Peterka | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Martin Necas | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $205 | 0.5% |
| Matt Duchene | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Timo Meier | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $145 | 0.3% |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $181 | 0.4% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Chris Kreider | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sorokin | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $133 | 0.3% |
| Jordan Binnington | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Kyle Connor | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Travis Konecny | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $145 | 0.3% |
| Brock Boeser | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
| Lane Hutson | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $148 | 0.3% |
| Mathew Barzal | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $146 | 0.3% |
Plus 44 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 55¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$42.5K has been traded on this event in total, $135 of it in the last 24 hours, across 124 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,366 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 3,366 | $1.8K |
| Euphoric-Spider | No | 2,382 | $1.1K |
| Pristine-Business | No | 767 | $352 |
| Wrathful-Denominator | Yes | 636 | $344 |
| Good-Natured-Attenuation | No | 567 | $261 |
| Gifted-Rancher | Yes | 368 | $199 |
| Tattered-Screamer | Yes | 293 | $158 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 280 | $128 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 112 | $51 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 100 | $46 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 45.2% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $45 |
| Oct 23, 03:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.9% | $64 |
| Oct 23, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 58.7% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 02:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 41.4% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 02:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 41.4% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 01:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.9% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Connor McDavid at 54.0%. Next is Player A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-hart-memorial-trophy-winner-2026-27?via=bro
$42.5K in total volume, with $135 traded in the last 24 hours across 124 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Connor McDavid, priced at 54.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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