As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nathan MacKinnon at 67.5% in NHL: Players to Record 40+ Goals — $20.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nathan MacKinnon, is priced at 67.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -4.0 pts.
Since September 28, 2026, Nathan MacKinnon has traded between 29.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 62.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.5% |
Nathan MacKinnon is favored at 67.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $100 | 0.5% |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $160 | 0.8% |
| Leon Draisaitl | 61¢ | 61.0% | +4.0 pts | $1.9K | 8.9% |
| Kyle Connor | 57¢ | 57.5% | +5.5 pts | $121 | 0.6% |
| Macklin Celebrini | 53¢ | 53.0% | — | $118 | 0.6% |
| Tage Thompson | 53¢ | 53.0% | +8.5 pts | $353 | 1.7% |
| Cole Caufield | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $370 | 1.8% |
| Jason Robertson | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $20 | 0.1% |
| Matthew Boldy | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Jesper Bratt | 49¢ | 49.4% | -0.1 pts | $120 | 0.6% |
| Auston Matthews | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $1.3K | 6.3% |
| Brock Boeser | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.5 pts | $42 | 0.2% |
| Artemi Panarin | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Robert Thomas | 48¢ | 48.0% | -1.0 pts | $42 | 0.2% |
| Connor McDavid | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $80 | 0.4% |
| Bo Horvat | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $102 | 0.5% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $21 | 0.1% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 46¢ | 45.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 44¢ | 44.5% | — | $96 | 0.5% |
| Clayton Keller | 44¢ | 43.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lucas Raymond | 43¢ | 43.3% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brayden Point | 43¢ | 43.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adam Fantilli | 43¢ | 42.8% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 43¢ | 42.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kirill Marchenko | 42¢ | 42.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hertl | 42¢ | 41.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 41¢ | 41.2% | — | $22 | 0.1% |
| Dylan Guenther | 40¢ | 40.0% | — | $1.8K | 8.4% |
| Sebastian Aho | 40¢ | 40.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| William Nylander | 40¢ | 40.0% | — | $140 | 0.7% |
| Alex DeBrincat | 39¢ | 39.0% | -10.5 pts | $416 | 2.0% |
| Sam Reinhart | 38¢ | 38.0% | — | $307 | 1.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 34¢ | 34.0% | — | $517 | 2.5% |
| Brandon Hagel | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $454 | 2.2% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 34¢ | 33.5% | -14.5 pts | $96 | 0.5% |
| Jake Guentzel | 30¢ | 29.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.4K | 11.7% |
| David Pastrnak | 29¢ | 29.0% | — | $80 | 0.4% |
| Brady Tkachuk | 28¢ | 28.5% | -0.5 pts | $300 | 1.4% |
| Nico Hischier | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Alex Tuch | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $401 | 1.9% |
| Nick Suzuki | 25¢ | 25.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jared McCann | 25¢ | 24.9% | — | $107 | 0.5% |
| Mark Stone | 25¢ | 24.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Filip Forsberg | 24¢ | 24.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.9K | 13.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $53 | 0.3% |
| Martin Necas | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $1.0K | 5.0% |
| Brock Nelson | 23¢ | 23.1% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Tom Wilson | 23¢ | 23.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Roope Hintz | 22¢ | 21.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jack Eichel | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adrian Kempe | 20¢ | 20.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jack Hughes | 20¢ | 20.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mark Scheifele | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $1.8K | 8.8% |
| Sidney Crosby | 20¢ | 20.1% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Connor Bedard | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $192 | 0.9% |
| Steven Stamkos | 20¢ | 19.5% | -9.0 pts | $200 | 1.0% |
| Tim Stutzle | 18¢ | 18.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dylan Larkin | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $750 | 3.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $20 | 0.1% |
| John Tavares | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 13¢ | 12.6% | +7.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Travis Konecny | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Marner | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $142 | 0.7% |
| Mathew Barzal | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $82 | 0.4% |
| Matvei Michkov | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $60 | 0.3% |
| Quinton Byfield | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $80 | 0.4% |
| Aleksander Barkov | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $21 | 0.1% |
| Kevin Fiala | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $328 | 1.6% |
| Nazem Kadri | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $40 | 0.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.2 pts | $222 | 1.1% |
| Elias Pettersson (1998) | 5¢ | 5.5% | -0.1 pts | $61 | 0.3% |
| Matt Duchene | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $21 | 0.1% |
| Brad Marchand | 4¢ | 3.8% | — | $65 | 0.3% |
| Seth Jarvis | 3¢ | 3.3% | -0.1 pts | $27 | 0.1% |
| Patrik Laine | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| J.T. Miller | 3¢ | 3.1% | -36.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Timo Meier | 3¢ | 2.7% | -0.4 pts | $132 | 0.6% |
| Chris Kreider | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.1 pts | $228 | 1.1% |
Plus 1 more outcomes — see the full book on Polymarket.
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 25¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.8K has been traded on this event in total, $165 of it in the last 24 hours, across 81 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 29, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 40 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to record 40 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NHL regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player has recorded 40 or more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 40 | $27 |
| Good-Natured-Attenuation | Yes | 40 | $27 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 40 | $13 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 20 | $6 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 20 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 12:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 08:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 08:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 08:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 03:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 06:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.6% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 05:08 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $42 |
| Oct 20, 01:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 07:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nathan MacKinnon at 67.5%. Next is Kirill Kaprizov at 64.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nhl-players-40-plus-goals-2026-27?via=bro
$20.8K in total volume, with $165 traded in the last 24 hours across 81 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 29, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Nathan MacKinnon, priced at 67.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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